WesternFringe

Well, down here NW of Staunton, I have the precip, but not the temps. Just now fell to 32. Fingers crossed I get more than just cold rain. Good luck, everyone!

Steady snow, 33 degrees.

Snowing here in Augusta County. 34 degrees

Steady flurries here in Augusta County at 1500’. Approaching a coating! 34°

Flurries on and off here in Augusta County at 1500’. Hoping tomorrow can trend more frozen and less wet like the 12K NAM as we approach game time!

Yes, but it only goes out to 90 hrs or something ETA: but you know more about the weather than I do, so that might have been a joke that went over my head!

Who on here has been patient?

Nothing matters till tonight's runs anyway Most important runs of the year eta: ninja’d by Ralph Wiggum

Same here. Maybe because one map is total snowfall and one is 24 hr snowfall?

Biggest Euro run of the year! Now, where is my bingo card?....

It actually leapfrogged and was colder at the surface than the 12Z NAM

Agreed- being over 1500' during prime climo and hoping for rates to create dynamic cooling over my head to get snow is super frustrating!

Yeah, even my last hope the NAM took a step towards the globals for temps at 850. However it picked up on some weak CAD that has me in the blue in Augusta County along with some of the more northerly western VA crew. NAM at range with rain 10 miles south of mby- what could go wrong? Lock it in.

I know PSU and others have noted the different thermals on the GFS vs NAM. Here is another look at 850s as the precip has reached Kentucky. All 84 hr NAM caveats aside, just hoping the slightly colder 6Z Euro and the NAM seeing more cold might be the start of positive trend for us. GFS NAM

stuck in the middle with you

The V cut the primary makes on the 12Z Euro from 192 to 204 as moves from Alabama to KY then transfers to the NC coast would make basketball coaches very proud. It is like it runs into a force shield created by the 1034 H just north of the Great Lakes!

You posted yesterday's 12Z Euro snowfall map and used it as evidence that DT thinks the heaviest snows will be in SW VA? That's not what he thinks, that is what the Euro thought 24 hours ago (although those two things may be one in the same).

It was a flizzard for sure. Intense bursts of snow, some with the sun shining through.

Ended up with a half inch here NW of Staunton. 33 degrees

Flurries and 28 degrees here in Augusta County NW of Staunton.

Isn't Cape May in NJ? Why do you come here to this forum to be a doomer?

This is not true just because you state it. The verification scores for the major models have increased dramatically. ETA: For example, this text is from 2015 and the map is from 2017. We are better 120 hours out than we used to be 48 hours out with hurricane tracks. Why? Better models, and by a long shot: Over the past fifteen years, 1- to 5-day NHC track forecast errors have declined by about a factor of two—an extraordinary accomplishment that has undoubtedly led to a huge savings in lives, damage, and emotional angst for the people living in Hurricane Alley.

35, all snow, but light. Merry Christmas to all, happy holidays, and happy tracking!

Gone from 49 to 36 in a little over an hour and snow mixing in. NW of Staunton

Been snowing for the last 3 hours nw of Staunton. Lots of ice pellets today (2 in) and good amount of snow as well (3 so far).