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WesternFringe

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Everything posted by WesternFringe

  1. Light snow, 32°. Starting to accumulate. .
  2. Snow and sleet falling from the sky and 33 degrees. NW of Staunton in Augusta County
  3. So, I teach math in HS as one of my jobs. 20% of tracking winter weather for me is tracking ‘snow’ days off for my wife (also a teacher) and my son in HS and my daughter in MS, so it is cool that Augusta County, and Staunton, and Waynesboro are all out tomorrow. But 80% is getting enough snow to sled with the kids and plow and make snow angels and have snowball fights, etc. Not sure we will be able to do this tomorrow, unfortunately!
  4. I grew up just south of Saratoga Springs. Had 60”+ in an average winter. Please bring it back with you!
  5. Beautiful ice patterns on the car this morning. Flurries on and off today- currently on. Pretty flakes on the picnic table out back!
  6. I would take the 2" the CMC or 3" the GFS or the 3-4" the Euro is showing in western Augusta County in a heartbeat! Interested to see what the 12Z suite shows, especially the Euro and NAMs. It is a super sharp gradient so every little bit of CAD will make a big difference for some.
  7. I think he said the 28th there was going to be a snowstorm and we needed to just deal with it.
  8. Saw snow mixed with rain in the 11-12 range, but mostly rain and no sleet observed. nw of Staunton in Augusta County
  9. I live NW of Churchville (outside of Staunton- so about 35 minutes to your NW) and have had about 1.5" of sleet/snow this year lol. Had about an inch from the 12/15 storm. Last time I saw snow without rain or sleet mixing in was 11/17 and 11/18 when it was flurries. Hope it gets better soon. 2020 was a pitiful winter, but at least we eked out 3 snowstorms for a measly 7".
  10. Ice storm with a little snow here in Augusta County. Different date, same storm we have had 3 times previously. From Pivotal:
  11. Incoming! Another sleet/freezing rain storm for the valley. Yay. Man, this winter is breaking even my general optimism for snow chances! lol
  12. Same for my location in western augusta county
  13. Maybe nationwide that is true (I don’t know), but a quick search shows that at least parts of Japan have been experiencing record snowfall. “Heavy snowfall across Japan” and “some parts of the country are reporting 3 times their annual snowfall” and “December snowfall records set” and “24 hour snowfall records set” etc and this is all after last year’s crazy amount of snow in Japan
  14. Your posts definitely imply this is the new normal. At least that is how I think the vast majority of folks in here read them. You talk about trends a lot. And medians of decades declining. The posts are very suggestive of how things might be going forward, even if that isn’t your intention. eta: You also write about how if we need every teleconnection to even snow along with anomalous cold, then what is the point. I am not sure how one would interpret that other than you are implying this is the new normal. I agree with BobChill and Ji and others that our lack of snow is primarily cyclical. I had 28.5” last year, which is a few inches over climo, so we all have our perspectives.
  15. I volunteer. I am one of those folks who thinks recency bias and a bunch of ninas has colored our understanding of the past and our expectations for the future. If we don't turn it around in the next 2-3 years, I will admit I am wrong, go see the reaper, and disappear from this forum forever. Because what is the point in tracking if we absolutely can’t snow for the most part? Especially if we have to read about it over and over from people in every mid/long range thread. That isn’t good for mental health if one is investing so much time tracking potential snowstorms!
  16. Rain with snow mixing in. Went from 43 to 37 degrees on my 15 minute car ride. NW Augusta County
  17. Okay, we can go back to hearing from preferred posters why it can’t snow in the MA after it just did. My bad. I will stop being so optimistic for snow chances.
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