WesternFringe
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Everything posted by WesternFringe
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If you are talking accumulation, I get it. Just saying the 850s are really good on the back end of the front regardless of the surface temp In Pittsburgh, which many in this forum have elevation on
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Look at the 850 temps. Pittsburgh?
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TT's map looks way different than WB's...
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GFS has mby fringed on the east of the best snow, NAM has me fringed on the west. Seems legit- lol.
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It's an op run at range, which isn't worth discussing.
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36 and flurries here in Swoope in Augusta County
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Now we are retroactively downgrading storms from the past based on the present. Lol. Awesome! ETA: Nothing would be at all the same about the 500 progression or the surface if there were different temperatures at play. But pretend like you could change one variable and everything else stays the same! Only PSU is allowed to do that! Etaa: btw, I love PSU’s analysis (big ups, man) and learn a lot from him and CAPE And Terpeast and Eskimo Joe and Brooklyn and Mappy etc. Sincerely thank you all for the analysis.
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Western Fringed with 23” lol. Op at hour 312 for the win!
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I agree 100%. The weeklies might be good for getting a general idea of what average temps over a future time period are forecast to be, and I get that. But not sure where this idea came from that we have to average lower than normal temps over an entire week for it to snow.
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So, over a 5 day period that starts a week and a half from now, we will average 1°F over normal cold December temps. Got it.
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Some of my HS students said their thermometers at home and in their cars said 9 or 10 degrees that morning. My heat pump’s online temp said it was 14 when I checked around 8:00am that morning. Was driving an old truck instead of my car so I didn’t have the temp displayed in my own vehicle
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Y’all live and die with every op run thinking this time must be the final solution.
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Yeah, not worried about the high here today (50) affecting ground temps in 6 days, especially since the lows are below freezing on Monday and Tuesday night.
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Exactly. What are the verification scores for the Euro weeklies on temps 1-4 weeks out? How about those DJF temp maps? I honestly don’t know, but I would be surprised if they were high. What sea of warm? Last I saw, all these long range temp predictions were saying about an average December, which is cold enough to snow where I live at least. Forecast has 7 of the first 13 nights of December below freezing here.
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14 for low NW of Staunton. Brrrr...
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We have horses and are just glad they have somewhere to get out of the breeze when it gets into the teens tonight. Also good to see winds have been dying down for their sake.
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28° and dropping NW of Staunton in Augusta County. 14° here we come!
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Was 31 degrees with nice flurries on the way to work this morning.
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The forecast high here is 31° tomorrow and low of 14° tomorrow night! I take, although I will be sitting by the wood stove for sure!
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What punt? This board has pretty consistently been thinking a cold snap this week and next (with a small chance for a wave Dec 5/6 and a small chance for a second wave Dec 8-12) followed by a warm up before it gets cold again and we head towards peak climo in a moderate nino with some pretty nice analog years. People need to chill. Freaking out doesn’t make it snow. If it did, we would have been dumped on the last 3 years. All it does is make this board a more miserable place and turn off great posters like Bob Chill.
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Been excited about this game since this morning! I scan radar for snow, look at models, and then whether there are football games scheduled inside the precip shield. A few years ago, a buddy of mine and I created an algorithm that looks at GPS text output by hour (specifically the qpf field and the 850 temp field) and then cross-referenced the NFL schedule to alert us for snow games. Tonight’s game looks like it will rank an 7 or 8 out of 10 on our snow game rating scale
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Looks like 5-6” imby by the day after Christmas. I take this troll map, and gladly.
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Had 5” here and lost power. My dad and I slept by the wood stove while my wife and kids and mom went to my mother-in-laws since their power stayed on.
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Low of 30 in Churchville- 3rd straight sub freezing like others have said
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Low around 22 this morning west of Staunton
