https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&issuedby=BTV&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1
NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 1045 AM EDT Wednesday...Overall forecast for today
remains on track with the potential for strong to severe storms
persisting. Despite SPC pushing the slight and enhanced risk a
little bit northward, looking at current satellite trends still
feel the best potential for severe will be from southern Essex
County NY northeast through VT Washington, Caledonia, and
southern Essex Counties southward, and especially across
Rutland/Windsor Counties where the greatest surface heating and
instability will be found. Current mesoscale analysis shows what
the previous forecaster mentioned in regard to deep layer shear
with the strongest values >40kts at 0-6km north of the surface
boundary draped along and just south of the international
border, and 30-40kts southward. While not lining up as much as
we`d like to see a more widespread convective threat, it still
should be enough to support some organization of cells this
afternoon with the primary threat continuing to be damaging
winds and heavy rainfall.