klw

But it gives me 19" so we must accept it as truth.

No Tubthumpers?

This was the concert you would have seen, simply fantastic.

Just need a Storm:

temp at BTV has dropped from 40 at 8am to 35 at 11. https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KBTV.html

I think so, it seemed like it was light and mixed thoughout the day and not really getting to be snow at home until sunset. Here is the BTV AFD: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&issuedby=BTV&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 Minor changes made to the forecast for this 915 AM update, mainly to massage hourly temperatures based on current observations. Still seeing spotty precipitation across the region, some rain and some snow, likely some mix of rain and snow as well. Reports of slippery untreated roads as colder air moves into the region, though not yet seeing a sharp drop in temperatures. Cold front is continuing to slowly push across our area, as it does precipitation will change to all snow and temperatures will continue to fall. Previous discussion follows. The main event remains on track to begin this evening as the cold front dips south of the forecast area by 00Z, and a weak surface low currently taking shape over the Ozarks rides northeastward along the boundary passing just to our south Friday morning. Deep moisture and a swath of enhanced 850mb frontogenesis lifting into central/southern portions of the area will produce a period of moderate to heavy snow tonight into Friday morning with snowfall rates of up to 1"/hr expected from midnight to sunrise from the Adirondacks eastward through all of Vermont. Unfortunately trends do continue to point towards a brief low-level warm nose lifting into far southern Rutland and Windsor counties where soundings support sleet mixing in, which will cut down on snow totals a little bit before a changeover back to snow during the pre-dawn hours. After sunrise, snow will gradually taper off from west to east, but with extremely blocked northerly flow it will probably take until the afternoon to completely shutoff in the Champlain Valley. When it`s all done by sunset Friday, total snow accumulations are expected to be 7-10" in the St. Lawrence Valley and 8-14" eastward except in far southeastern Windsor County where only 5-9" is expected due to sleet. The main impacts from the event are expected to be travel related, but with the slightly wet nature of the snow in southern Vermont there could be some isolated power outages. Prior AFD: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&issuedby=BTV&product=AFD&format=CI&version=2&glossary=1 Previous Discussion...Overall, no major changes made to the previous forecast but some minor modification have been made based on latest observational and hi-res model trends. Surface cold front is on the doorstep of the St. Lawrence Valley currently while aloft temperatures have dropped below freezing over much of the area. As such, many areas east of the Adirondacks are seeing rain as the dominant ptype with snow observed westward. At the summit levels snow is falling as well per area webcams with already almost an inch noted above 3000 feet on Mount Mansfield. As the surface front slowly sags southeastward today, periods of light rain and snow are expected with a transition to all snow this afternoon. Owing to the light nature of precipitation during the daylight hours, snow accumulations will be generally low with the highest amounts west of the Champlain Valley in the 1-3" range, while eastward only a dusting to 2" is expected. The main event remains on track to begin this evening as the cold front dips south of the forecast area by 00Z, and a weak surface low currently taking shape over the Ozarks rides northeastward along the boundary passing just to our south Friday morning. Deep moisture and a swath of enhanced 850mb frontogenesis lifting into central/southern portions of the area will produce a period of moderate to heavy snow tonight into Friday morning with snowfall rates of up to 1"/hr expected from midnight to sunrise from the Adirondacks eastward through all of Vermont. Unfortunately trends do continue to point towards a brief low-level warm nose lifting into far southern Rutland and Windsor counties where soundings support sleet mixing in, which will cut down on snow totals a little bit before a changeover back to snow during the pre-dawn hours.

light snow mixing in here in downtown Burlington (BTV), most of the pack is toast here but survived without much of a dent at home.

light snow starting to mix in outside my window in downtown Burlington (BTV)

28 this morning when I left the house. It is amazing how warm 28 can feel this time of year.

Work on the bridge is supposed to start this Spring and cost $300,000,000. https://www.wfsb.com/news/gold-star-bridge-in-new-london-in-need-of-rehabilitation/article_67a25680-78c2-11ec-8ef4-e7df29b70091.html

Any ticks on that?

Will Route 2 to Route 2 mean a Route 4 jack?

I like my odds of topping my total from the Blizzardcane over the weekend!

It as if a whole bunch of hot air is eminating from central Connecticut. How could that be?

1998 did in VT, started above freezing but cold air drained in under the warmer air, exp in the Champlain Valley, flipping it to freezing rain for the heavier precip https://www.weather.gov/media/btv/events/IceStorm1998.pdf

.1 of snow, mostly from the initial front but we did lose power at some point over night. It is back on. I am guessing it must have been the weight of the snow was too much once the winds kicked in last night.

Any thoughts?

Q- are the models properly equipped to use the additional data collected from the recon flights if they are not usually part of the input? Just curious. Thanks, I will hang up and take my answer off the air..

There is always the BTV local 4km WRF: Mostly SE as well https://www.weather.gov/btv/4kmwrf

Didn't you just describe the Jersey Shore? (I grew up in NJ so I can make that joke)

Is today National Dual-Low Day?

Just for fun I looked at the SREF Plumes. Range for my closest spot is 0 to 37.41 with a mean of 15.5. Very SREF.

Which is the equivalent of buying Marlins World Series tickets in July.

Well duh, we like this one (12k) and ignoring the 3K. One give me 19 inches the other 4.