Greg

Now show the 10:1 ratio. It's a little diferent.

Already an overachiever.

Maybe or was the 18Z off models usually a bit too amped?

Te Euro has been known to be amped but only slightly so.

It's going to depend on a lot of variables for you particularly. Get into heavier omega and you stave off the mix. Precip lets up and sleet or rain or both can mix in. Very tough call because of the colder temps "Off the Deck" sort of speak.

What are you talking about? I'm deemed to be on the coast by many here. Being right on the water is a whole different situation all together.

Snowing nicely for over an hour here.

We'll see if it mixes as much as you may be thinking, not sure. Depends on rates and how cold it really is off the flight deck for them.

Same here.

There not buying the bias warmer models. Snowing steadily at my house right now.

Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories remain in effect for all but the Cape and Islands. As for snowfall totals, they have been increased a few inches for interior MA/CT, now 12-15 inches in the slopes of the Berkshires, Worcester Hills, and portions of northeast MA. Totals decrease toward the coasts, with 6-8 inches expected in greater Boston. The greatest uncertainty remains with southeast MA where marginal temperatures on the front end or a more robust Sunday afternoon could cause forecasted amounts to over or underperform

Nobody but northern peeps care about the Kuchera.

Not quite yet.

All Eastern Mass All The Time

Reggie solution will be tossed due to its warmer bias.

No, it's not that realistic. Use the 10:1 ratio. It's more realistic and easier to correct for. The only way that clown map gets closer to reality is if and only if the storm comes closer and the omega can get that far north. The heaviest still appears to be in far Southern New Hampshire and off to the south in Eastern Mass. Yes, there will be some elevation enhancement on the eastern facing Worcester hills and southern Berks. This is looking like a colder storm now with the high to the north not moving away as quickly as though much earlier and the track is now a tic or two south and offshore.

I WANT SNOW!!!!!!!!!

Perhaps, but there are people that exist on the board and other viewers that need to understand why certain things occur/happen or unfold the way they do.

The problem here is the main low and trailing short wave are not hooking up quite as well as we want to get a well-developed ccb and once again a fleeting high vs a building high is to the north/northeast of us. If the high was coming in just now to start to build the cold and the storm approached on late Saturday through Sunday afternoon with a decent phase/CCB and a true Benchmark track, then we'd be talking a much better scenario here.

For you, an earlier phase and slightly south track will give you a definitely better result. As stated, 2-3 inches of pure glop or 7-8 inches of heavy wet snow.

All these wobbles are not just noise. They can translate to relatively large differences on the ground.

Kuchera is usually the most exaggerated/amped vs the 10:1 ratio output.

What I'm getting at is the small nuances of the phasing and true trajectory of the snow shield vs the marine air influence. Such as GFS slightly earlier phase, Euro slightly later phase, and so forth.

The reality is the true storm track may actually be between both the Euro and GFS here. Not as close as the Euro and not further south like the GFS.