Greg

Not sure about how understaffed they are but I do get your point.

More than you snow goggled CT peeps

Still trends were there before 5AM, just not wholesale, more suble to the trained eye.

More like even south of that.

The trends have been obvious even before 5AM

That is highly unusual for them to stay stern and firm. like that.

I could go back to the 1970's and say the same thing. Even today the models with their algorithms still can have a very tough time sort out all the variables that can happen mother nature. She is and perhaps always will be in charge of the final outcome.

Not so sure about that. It's tough to ignore its physics. It's a significant model with support from other models around it.

She's starting to walk away.

Personally in all serious, i don't put tons of stalk either into depending on the H7 to get things done.

The Euro makes people dribble when they smile.

The pattern for Decrmber and January were not weak and south for the most part.

Coastal Graze,,,,

Take them all the way down now. Coastal graze in effect.

The temps initially are what are going to make the snow relatively tough to accumulate readily. Seen this with the Jan 6-7 storm. All snow but struggled in the beginning with 33-34F temps never mind the 36-36F to the south in that event that mad it tougher. So, I believe that is what the Mets are trying to get at with their snow accumulation maps at the National Weather Service in Norton. Nobody is getting a settled snowfall depth of 18" out of this. That's the Color Code Range, not the prediction. Even when colder mid-levels crash in, the intensity will be key to the wet bulb. Once again Speed, Temp and Track are paramount.

The Point Click method instead of the using the Range is probably the closest to the truth than reading (12-18") range for this particular storm. The speed of this thing, temps and its track are what are stopping this frome going higher.

Relax about crazy uncle.

Mother nature doesn't care if one feels overdue. It can end up remaining like that for several more years. Look at why the National Weather Service of Norton, MA states about the uncertainty about the far SouthShore, Cape Cod and Islands. They state it all why.

I think downtown will fall a little short of double-digit snowfall unless they measure it funny and don't allow it to settle but definately North/ Northwest of that looks good.

I know of a couple in the KU book that this somewhat resembles but not to a perfect tee though. Thay are not blockbusters but nice and decent.

Finally in agreement with you here but only on that northern periphery with the H7, the rest as I stated with the model solution, meh.....

Stated the same comment to another poster just moments earlier.

Your not getting that bank on it.

It's also outside of 36 hour spoke for consitancy. Need to gett it closer in to be more relevant of a solution.

No offense, I get what your saying but the Northeast is pretty broad in description,