Greg

https://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS/IPS-3483F275-71EC-4074-A156-4041111ED955.pdf

Actually you did a little better than you thought, 15.6" in the '78 storm.

For you guys up there yes. A General 10-15" with the exception of the 20-30" in the higher elevation would do something like that

Nah, I'll take a super blizzard of '78 2005 hybrid in Eastern, MA any day.

Maybe the officials don't trust some of the super high amounts. Maybe some of them looked suspect and they have better observers in the towns that don't wipe the board off so much and actually let it settle. I actually know a few of them.

Most of the '78 storm was as you already know, was not measured every 6 hours. Most of it was actually measured it every 24 hours or until the storm was complete.

Light snow here in Wilmington.

This pattern is overall so far more favorable looking than last year at this time.

I guess I was mistaken, tried to get close down to the ground with this satellite Earth View but can't seem to make out the device clearly. Still, not a very good place to put weather equipment for measurements IMO.

I actually think that Logan International Airport's ASOS device is located down around Apple Island at the Airport. Pretty much almost at the waters edge.

Already some light snow here at my house.

Boston already had it first trace a couple of days ago.

What ever falls directly behind this will be very brief based off of the latest radars. Wont last long at all.

Hope we even see some flakes here like a couple of so days ago. Not sure this time.

Believe it or not, down here forecast are not based on the six hours clearing method although some people do it. They are based on what will be on the ground. Weather it's fluffy snow that sublimates or wet snow that settles. Ask Harvey Leonard on channel 5 down here and others. He bases the his forecast and many TV Mets on what will hit the ground based on storm track, duration, air temps, W.E. (Water Equivalency), and ground temps; not the manipulation of that falling to the ground. So far many TV Mets do not try to predict how some individuals will measure just what the public will overall see with their eyes when the storm is complete. Trying to work that six hour measuring technique into a forecast would be very difficult to do not to mention it is not as uniform as many may believe.

I'm with you on that. Based on what I'm seeing by the radar, steady light-moderate snow and obviously breaks with in the precip shield are prevalent. I have to believe that under the very light precip there must be some sleet or snizzle at times given the track of this Low Pressure.

Based on the forecast for Northwestern New England, I'm actually wondering how much sleet is part of the 8"-12" of accumulations predicted.

Saw the 12Z GFS and NAM. Midlevels torched all the way through central New England. Hopefully any backlash left over can give us some snow showers and squalls like a couple of days ago.

Excellent write-up TT. I will be very curious what the pattern will look like by early December. I'm hoping the Southeast Ridge can be more tame than what we have seen so far. Although it is only early/mid November, this could add a caveat in how the storms track. Especially later on in the later winter months in marginal situations where we need that ridge to be more flatter than what we're seeing now.

That's not quite what I'm looking at. I'm very familiar with the step down process in November where Northern New England gets into the goods first. It's the overall pattern I'm looking at that is different.

Need more data to say it's Mirroring last year up in northern VT. This pattern is a little different this year than last year so far...

First flurries in Wilmington.

So has the immediate Northshore, but it is usually underforecasted.

Weymouth is more known as the Immediate South Shore, closest to Boston, not really thought of as Southeastern, MA.