Greg

Yes. I would go probably as high as 15:1 but that's the ceiling for what I think with that cold air column.

Absolutely! I haven't seen drifts like that since the Blizzard of January 2005 here in my neck of the woods.

That map actually makes sense at this stage of the game.

I agree with this.

My facts don't care about your feelings.

Just stating facts my man.

The way it was measured, sure. The COOP method gives you a few inches less.

Not bad. Not bad at all. Can't wait for the final map later. Good job.

I actually do have a weather question. Can the confluence to the north be equally as strong with a retreating High Pressure system just like an approaching High Pressure system? Just curious, I may be actually have an idea what the answer is but not 100% sure.

My mistake. It's all good.

Why wouldn't they? It's true. Set -up is different. Take a look at the KU book if you don't believe the set-up.

The Presidents Day Storm of 1979 isn't that great of an analog given that the High Pressure position and it was stronger 1040MB and pretty much over Northern New York State building into New England. The High we will have would be situated over Southeast Canada and weaker at this time.

Exactly!

A little Surprised their starting to do that when models can change over night. Not to mention the GFS knowing its drier bias.

Yeah, the Weather Department doesn't like that method of measuring, as you can see it in the final ground count that they put on for the public. They usually go, as I alluded to many times, with the COOP Data and first order stations. This is where it's usually done every 12 or 24 hours which it allows it to settle a little more. Especially fluffy snow which tends to sublimate rather quickly after the now truly stops falling. They do put our reports in as long as they are within reason to the surrounding reports / observation area.

It's possible 18" may have fallen, don't remember exactly but I'll just go with at least 17" and call it a day. As you indicated, Very sharp cut off to the north.

16-17" here in Wilmington. 16.2" Maynard, 17" Bedford, 16.5" Reading, 17.5" Middleton, 18.2" Boston. Very fluffy snow. Not in the jack zone but nowhere near a miss. Always was thirsty for more. January 7-8th 1996

The GFS loves to do this to people!

The GFS is trying to hold serve. Keeps the heavy band just off the southern coast of SNE still, never mind just south of the pike peeps.

I think Dr. Dews is as close by as Billerica, MA

The ICON enters SW CT by 00Z Thursday and just about gone in Eastern MA by 18Z Thursday. That's an 18 Hour storm at best probably less.

Make sure you read the Weather Report posted by Henry's Weather and the Weather Service Boston. Even they indicate a taint potential for the Cape and Islands can happen in certain tracks closer to the coast but still be off shore.

ICON gives rain to the Cape and Islands.

I mean seriously guys, if this picture of the NAM at 84 hours was 24 hours out, this place would be absolute gang busters!

Oh, I agree weatheafella. Posted just to make sure all the players are on the board, that's all. Let the model biases commence.