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Greg

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Everything posted by Greg

  1. Greg
    GFS should be starting any time now. Let's see if it can see the light.
  2. Greg
    Verbatim, not really. It depends on how you know how to correct for its' bias. Meaning in terms of true snowfall and area coverage.
  3. Greg
    Try the 12K instead at hour 69 or 72.
  4. Greg
    Out to hour 69 looks real nice. I just wish it was only 29 hours out.
  5. Greg
    Go out to about Hour 69 and I think the snow is done in Eastern MA for a true total.
  6. Greg
    The problem with the upstream mess is that it comes with an overall active northern jet stream during this La Nina. High traffic.
  7. Greg
    Not bad, not bad. Definitely better since 18Z.
  8. Greg
    Watch the confluence, higher heights ahead means the center rides northeastward then takes a sharp turn do east because of that.
  9. Greg
    Some models actually have the mix line getting close/in Philly. Track is everything there for them.
  10. Greg
    That's actually a good sign. Thank you so much for posting that which shows the different stages of it's evolution with each model run
  11. Greg
    I agree, Harvey seems to get it. Not too high, not too low just about right with a chance of movement north or south depending on future runs. Good job Harvey.
  12. Greg
    I wouldn't call about 20" in Reading, MA petering out.
  13. Greg
    Personally I think with the help of OES Plymouth, MA, and Taunton, MA get hit. Then a nice ribbon over to Providence, RI, Willimantic, CT to Middleton, CT and Danbury, Ct is the best spot for this so far.
  14. Greg
    Is the GFS the new King yet?
  15. Greg
    I'm at hour 48 on the Euro, one more frame will tell me what I need to know.
  16. Greg
    Not bad at all at this juncture.
  17. Greg
    Me too!
  18. Greg
    Here's generally what Boston's saying with it's BOX Weather Discussion: Blend these as of now pending future runs: Euro and GFS on the bottom.
  19. Greg
    One of my worries here really is that the GFS actually catches up with the other models, has the storm go to the 40/70 Benchmark, which is good! But, as the moisture approaches it end up getting eaten quite a bit in the very dry cold air aloft. That is my biggest worry out of this whole thing.
  20. Greg
    Actually no. If you read it carefully you see why they are skeptical of the NAM and looking at the GFS. They state what their reasoning is.
  21. Greg
    Which is what you and I want to see. I hope it continues to verify.
  22. Greg
    Based on the reading of the BOX from Boston Weather. We need that center to come close or directly over the 40/70 Benchmark to get something good here or we're looking at 3-6" of very dry fluffy snow / pixie dust Boston area and immediate North Shore with a very narrow band of 6-12" on the far South Shore.
  23. Greg
    That's why even I don't buy it verbatim. Too sharp of a cutoff north and looking solution. Honestly I don't see Lowell, MA getting 16" of fluffy snow here. Maybe 10-11" but in my forecast that's max for that area even with potential fluff factor involved.
  24. Greg
    A lot of things have changed since then. Yes, we have had a boon in storms but measuring technique has changed, for many newbies, which as everybody knows I despise. There are much more weather spotters, better computer models 24/7, and of course the news which tends to sensationalize what were mostly moderate storms of the past. Moderate meaning old definition: 4-8",5-10", and even 6-12" storms. We had discussion on this board quite a while back.
  25. Greg
    We've been saying that for a while now. Nothing over 15 hours.
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