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Greg

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Everything posted by Greg

  1. 0.5" of increase in an air column like that translates to better things for us unless you believe that the dendrite formation will be poor when it hits the ground.
  2. Once it gets to a certain Latitude it jerks east/ northeast fast so how far north will it make it.
  3. That's actually not a bad call at this stage. Very close to what I was thinking at this time.
  4. Don't deny the se correction in the end. Seen it many times with these.
  5. The Euro will probably take down the over amped Canadian and NAM solutions and put reality in perspective. Pretty sure of it. It does have its own slight amp but nowhere near those other models.
  6. Actually, Ray in that particular model output is on the line but actually just inside the better banding. The dry slot is actually a little bit north of him verbatim on this.
  7. Usually the Canadian Regional (RGM) is more amped than the Canadian Global (GEM).
  8. I would wait for the big guy "EC" before updating.
  9. You can use the Kuchera but it is a little misleading with the fluff factor potential. It usually over does it. But fun to look at none the less.
  10. You posted it too early my friend. Go to about 66 Hours. That's when the storm is done in all.
  11. We all have to be a little more reasonable on this board for crying out loud. I've seen this happen for years now. Everybody knows the NW bias of the Canadian and NAM models at this juncture. The north tics are obviously there, but not like that where it takes the omega to northern New England in one shift. Come on now! Do many of you think the National Weather Service Mets Boston/Norton, MA are going to take that verbatim? Seriously.
  12. That Storm was lacking a High to the North. This storm has one this time to keep the cold air in.
  13. That's way too far north to be real. Doesn't match watch you see in the LE map below. Look at Essex County in MA. That's all fluffy snow with no mix.
  14. I agree. It is the 3K Nam of course at this juncture.
  15. Don't know why I earned a weenie for that observation Ray. You should be able to see that also in the LE Ukmet totals.
  16. Something funny about those WE totals vs the snow they produce doesn't make sense on the UKie. The air column is very cold, it should produce nearly 15-1 ratios in that.
  17. That picture is a little too early to post, hour 72 or so is better.
  18. Out to hour 66, needs a couple more frames to finish here in Eastern MA.
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