Geoboy645

I figured it was a good time to start this thread as the North Central River Forecast Center just came out with their first spring flood forecast. https://www.weather.gov/ncrfc/LMI_ROF_NFP_SpringHydroOutlook Initial prognosis is that this year has a high potential of flooding along the Upper Mississippi and surrounding rivers. Factors for this forecast include how wet the soils still are from last year, the fact that a lot of rivers in the midwest are having really high flows for this time of year, and the heavy and wet snowpack up north. Basically if any area gets a large amount of rain this year they are going to possibly have some significant flooding. Oh yeah and not too mention the extremely high levels of the Great Lakes which will undoubtedly go up through the spring. In fact, Lake Michigan-Huron is only a few feet away from flood stage. Overall this year looks to be a very interesting year in the Midwest for flooding.

-15 here. I am not surprised at all by Black River Falls being -33, they are always like the coldest spot in the area. Them and Lone Rock.

I probably have about 7-8 inches OTG. Definitely the largest storm of the year for me.

Totally ripping outside right now. Easily 1"+ an hour rates, definitely the heaviest snow rates this season. MKX is still saying 5-7" here, but the way it is snowing if we get this for any appreciable amount of time we'll probably go over that amount. Also it's pretty mice having a daytime snowfall.

Just got put under a Wsw. Mkx is saying 5-8 inches here which I would agree with. If we get more than 6 that will be our biggest storm so far. This should rebuild our snowpack.

This will be an interesting one to watch. Not expecting too much here as I am more to the east, but still could be a decent hit.

I swear it is becoming a new tradition to have you guys get flooded out in February.

A repeat of last February would be pretty nice to say the least.

I hate when it is like this. It is so boring and depressing outside, especially with it being warm enough to melt the snowpack.

A broken clock is right twice a day...

Ok alek can you quit with the rain stuff? Everyone has got it that you are calling rain, so you don't need to constantly fill this entire thread with videos and low-quality one line posts. It is getting really annoying, especially for those of us that want to actually have a good discussion about this storm.

Right, forgot about compaction and melting.

Anyway, MKX is saying another 3-5" for here. Not a whole lot,but hey that should put our snowpack up to 10" or so. That should be enough to open snowmobile trails for a while and hey 10" is a decent snowpack in itself.

The models could show a GHD 1 repeat and alek would still call it a rainer and stick to it.

Welcome to winter in the midwest.

My total for this storm is roughly 5" or so.

All snow here right now. I have probably got 3-4" although its hard to tell with all the drifting going on. It's been a very pretty snowstorm. So far so good for MKX's prediction of 5-6". In fact if rates continue like this I wouldn't be surprised if we go a little over.

Yeah I would use Madison over MIlwaukee for a close reporting station. Different low temp regimes with lake and all. Edit: Actually just looking at the graphs for Madison, we have never recorder a year with no lows below zero.

I got down to -3 out here. It's my first below zero reading all winter and it's january 17th. That''s got to be pretty close to a record right?

Well MKX has me at 5-6" for this event which seems reasonable. Nice thing is that since we really didn't get melting in the last week, there should be enough for the snowmobile trails to start running which is always good. Will be my biggest snowfall of the actual winter if predictions are accurate.

Ahh yes, the good ole 5" special truly an event like no other.

Heres MKX's snowfall map from this "storm". So, so disappointing. Only getting 5 inches when you're supposed to get a foot at one point is really great y'know.

MKX finally posted the top weather event of the last year and the last decade. https://www.weather.gov/media/mkx/WCM/2019wisconsinevents.pdf https://www.weather.gov/media/mkx/WCM/2010swisconsinevents.pdf One thing to note is that they are for the entire state, not just the CWA. I agree with the lists for the most part, my only complaint would be the disappointing lack of the Dec,20,2012 blizzard that dumped like 20 inches in parts of the state. Other than that thing, they are pretty good lists.

I am not getting my hopes up at all after the last storm.

As I always say, some people just have incredibly high expectations for winter in this sub-forum.