Negnao

Noticed this wonky stripe through the corridor on the run to run tab on weatherbell for the 850s. Take this out and it’s a cleaner regional improvement in upper level temps.

It’s more progressive than the mesoscale models which is what we need.

We need the low to not take that north jump once around Norfolk. We need it to be more progressive and easterly/more out to sea. The rgem as well as some others show a jump north up the bay, which wrecks our mid levels. Need it more progressive.

Doubtful it will materialize as ice. Temps low to mid 30s. More rainy than icy.

30-40 mph wind gust accompany this driving rain.

Navgem jumped on a slightly more progressive progression.

The transfer to the coastal low is much later than the successful runs we’ve had like the Canadian from yesterday.

I thought Richmond was in the southeastern forum as it’s southern VA. I love DT’s information and posts though, so if that means we have to take Richmond, i guess it’s worth it.

Fall line storm. Climatology takes over.

0z nam, rgem, gfs, and 21z sref trended farther north and a touch warmer. Worse for DC and south.

Over an inch of qpf at the Jersey Shore on this run.

Philly annual snowfall is 22 and Dulles annual snowfall is 22 and bwi is around 20. I don’t understand why everyone says it doesn’snow around here Nyc was around 25 which isn’t much more and I would say they’ve had a historic run the last two decades and that has started to skew their average. Yes many years are not snowy but the same holds true in philly and nyc snow records. That’s how averages work but people can be justified in being disappointed in a snowless winter with a mean around 22 inches. Yes, we’re not Rochester but we can expect snow.

Alabama or missing that winter?

They’re in southern VA should be in the SE forum anyway.

Closest report to dca I could find on the nws website was ballston and the 2.6 report was from 1030am.

That’s not dca’s official report. They have reported over .4 of frozen precip(almost all snow)as of the last hour. Not possible

Dca 9 inches as of 7pm according to the NWS. Wonder if the CWG figure of 9.8 was accurate.

Maybe they found the snow board and actually measure snowfall instead of snow depth.

That was from around 1pm I believe. The zoo had 7.3 at 358 before the coastal.

Where are you exactly? Dca reporting unknown precip type at the 2pm observation.

So far the dc snow force field is holding.

We’re doing well in moco so far. Everything is white and it’s coming down at a good clip in Potomac. Rooting for the DC crew. Seems the precip skipped right over them.

8 inches expected at the mall. NWS is officially all in.