Negnao

So we swapped out the Canadian for the Gfs on our side but the Canadian has better verification scores. Lol

2/10 was definitely more than 20 at DCA and indeed they had an initial observation closer to what Dulles got. They then revised that observation but also acknowledged that they lost the snow board during the storm. Essentially they guessed.

Yes but as recently as last January DCA had a 4.1 inch storm and a 3.7 inch storm, barely missing this. And dc itself surely achieved it.

????? Baltimore (bwi) got 6.6 in the January storm this year as well.

Any observations of ice on Potomac or bay? This map seems overdone.

This map doesn’t really tell the story that dc is on the wrong side of the thermal boundary on the hrrr for most of the event and gets saved by a nice backend band as the coastal pulls away. That’s too hard to predict.

DCA reported 1 inch at 1am observation but this morning the 6am observation was reported to be .7. Looks like they changed it.

DCA can’t be less than 7 but they are terrible with two part storms.

I know you guys hate the sref plumes but 11 inch mean at DCA is fun to look at.

Fv3 looks nice.

Surprised there’s not more panic about the north trend. The wiggle room for dc is gone.

Central Park is not in a bad spot. Better than jfk. Not sure why people always complain about Central Park. The nyc equivalent of Dca would be 20 miles south of jfk in the ocean and it would never capture close events that snowed in the city. The snow mean would go down dramatically. At DCA every marginal event is missed even though you could have a mostly region wide snow event.

Makes no sense to close an urban district with no rural bus routes for 1-3/2-4 inches of snow. It would be embarrassing if they did close.

This may be the most disturbing panel I’ve seen tonight. So close. Total screw job.

Not that dry to the north of us. Just too far north. Not good for us.