Jump to content

chris21

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    596

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by chris21

  1. chris21
    There’s no doubt there is more snow in the initial thump in dc at least than 00z... check the soundings..Held steady with qpf in the dc metro.
  2. chris21
    Check out their snowfall accumulation maps.
  3. chris21
    For those keeping track... this a far better run snow wise than 00z for the dc metro at least.
  4. chris21
    Hope they start trending toward the globals but have they ever not been amped and north? It’s anecdotal but I feel like anytime there is a southern slider we can at least count on the srefs to throw us .50 of digital qpf when everything else is dry.
  5. chris21
    Suppression fail crew has already taken the 00z shift away from the warm fail crew.
  6. chris21
    Was on a terrible streak but nailed the ice storm from impressive range and consistency.
  7. chris21
    Strongly disagree, could barely walk outside my house Saturday and sat night. It didn’t accumulate anywhere? NWS reported a .25 inch ice in adams Morgan.
  8. chris21
    Ehhh... happens a lot... but we just had a high impact freezing rain event two days ago that was apparently “impossible in dc” even though I’ve seen it many times.
  9. chris21
    Yeah, if you look at the strength and location of the high and arctic air nearby and light northeast flow it’s actually a classic situation for a major ice event in dc. Def doesn’t look like an all snow event in dc, but I would certainly not sleep on the sleet/ice potential with this storm given the synoptic setup.
  10. chris21
    An east based nao is not the greatest snow look in dec, but with shorter wavelengths it becomes less of an issue in March. West is still ideal always.
  11. chris21
    Did pretty well with the ice storm. Showed about .3-.4 qpf consistently and handled the shortwave pretty well I thought.
  12. chris21
    Absolutely... heavy zr at 15 would be far more efficient at accretion than heavy zr at 31.
  13. chris21
    Some fz drizzle currently in NW.
  14. chris21
    Actually it was far worse than forecast. At least here in NW DC. 27 degrees and falling.
  15. chris21
    Same situation in Mt. Pleasant. Temp has ticked down once again to 28.
  16. chris21
    Mt. Pleasant is def encased in ice!! 29 with sleet/freezing rain continuing. Huge NAM bust lol.
  17. chris21
    I kept pointing that out but everyone told me it was going to be a “non-event”. Looked like a clear high impact event in dc to me at least.
  18. chris21
    Wow, 28 up here in NW. moderate sleet and freezing rain.
  19. chris21
    Precip looks to be redeveloping on nexrad. Looks like a couple more hours of precip prob. Unless temps rise, conditions will continue to deteriorate as the sun begins to fall.
  20. chris21
    With a light ne flow at the surface and really a classic cold air damming look I’ve been wondering the same thing....
  21. chris21
    I think accrual will gradually catch up if the temp does not budge much. Tonight is supposed to be only around 27-28. I just don’t see how all of this doesn’t freeze given past similar situations.
  22. chris21
    Oh man... the sidewalk in front of my house is straight ice in mt. Pleasant. The temp fell to 27 also... don’t think that bodes too well looking at the radar.
  23. chris21
    Sidewalk has caved in nw... sheet of ice. Temp has ticked down 27/23 with freezing rain and an occasional sleet pellet.
  24. chris21
    Not helping much at all in dc now but our temps are a bit lower... 27/28.
  25. chris21
    Already a bust in dc. I thought the NAM was king! lol, this winter....
×
×
  • Create New...