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chris21

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Everything posted by chris21

  1. chris21
    Looks like an ice situation south of 1-70
  2. chris21
    2m temps are scorched on the NAM.
  3. chris21
    The 3k nam is showing snow shower/squall potential tomorrow across the region tomorrow.
  4. chris21
    Wow that’s a pretty bold call 6-7 days out. You could be right, but I’m going to withhold my judgement for a few more days.
  5. chris21
    There were several severe ice storms (even in dc proper) around the dates on the 6-10/8-14 day analog chart.
  6. chris21
    2m temps are below freezing the entire storm in the metro area. Not even close really.
  7. chris21
    I was worried about potential late month cold killing off the newly ubiquitous speckled trout stocks in the lower bay estuaries. Not that worried at this point, next month maybe...
  8. chris21
    It was somehow even further north than that at 00z.
  9. chris21
    I thought the GFS looked somewhat different than the Canadian for the first storm. Am I missing something here?
  10. chris21
    Is the storm completely finished by 144?
  11. chris21
    Those are somewhat misleading graphics to say the least. Those guys do weather like partisans do politics... which is weird.
  12. chris21
    Chya!
  13. chris21
    A light-moderate uncomplicated event. Sign me up!
  14. chris21
    It’s a quick thump to rain on the GFS. All snow on the Euro.
  15. chris21
    Huh? It was like an inch or 2 for long periods of time. The blinds were closed.
  16. chris21
    Ha! you should've seen it last year!
  17. chris21
    Id be shocked if Romney got an inch. Northwest flow snows may provide a snow shower occasionally but in Romney, a NW wind is downsloping which dries up all of the moisture deposited on the Allegheny Front.
  18. chris21
    Romney is def not my fav spot in West Virginia. I'm sure there are nice cabins, but it is in the rainshadow area. They may average 25-28 inches of snow per year if they are lucky. 20-30 miles to the west lies dolly sods and the Allegheny Front and 150 inches of yearly snowfall.
  19. chris21
    Hopefully, the 18z will bring it back!
  20. chris21
    In DC, we’ve actually had worse snow droughts. Look at the period from 1926-1932 . That being said, it’s still quite discouraging.
  21. chris21
    Guidance has tried to break down the blocking countless times in the past month and a half. Given previous similar blocking regimes, it usually does not just disappear... particularly after a coupled SSW. -PMM may affect the STJ but we may be heading toward a more favorable MJO by the time Feb rolls around.
  22. chris21
    Yeah, I wouldn’t get too depressed about that look on the gfs op at 200 hours plus. The features would only need to shift slightly for a significantly different outcome. Not impossible 200 hours out on an op.I’d rather it showed blue... but still.
  23. chris21
    Pretty stout west based neg nao doing it’s thing there.
  24. chris21
    I’ll take my chances with colder air and that beautiful west based block and -EPO.
  25. chris21
    It’s a fair amount cooler than it has been recently however so there’s that.
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