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chris21

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Everything posted by chris21

  1. chris21
    Those are somewhat misleading graphics to say the least. Those guys do weather like partisans do politics... which is weird.
  2. chris21
    Chya!
  3. chris21
    A light-moderate uncomplicated event. Sign me up!
  4. chris21
    It’s a quick thump to rain on the GFS. All snow on the Euro.
  5. chris21
    Huh? It was like an inch or 2 for long periods of time. The blinds were closed.
  6. chris21
    Ha! you should've seen it last year!
  7. chris21
    Id be shocked if Romney got an inch. Northwest flow snows may provide a snow shower occasionally but in Romney, a NW wind is downsloping which dries up all of the moisture deposited on the Allegheny Front.
  8. chris21
    Romney is def not my fav spot in West Virginia. I'm sure there are nice cabins, but it is in the rainshadow area. They may average 25-28 inches of snow per year if they are lucky. 20-30 miles to the west lies dolly sods and the Allegheny Front and 150 inches of yearly snowfall.
  9. chris21
    Hopefully, the 18z will bring it back!
  10. chris21
    In DC, we’ve actually had worse snow droughts. Look at the period from 1926-1932 . That being said, it’s still quite discouraging.
  11. chris21
    Guidance has tried to break down the blocking countless times in the past month and a half. Given previous similar blocking regimes, it usually does not just disappear... particularly after a coupled SSW. -PMM may affect the STJ but we may be heading toward a more favorable MJO by the time Feb rolls around.
  12. chris21
    Yeah, I wouldn’t get too depressed about that look on the gfs op at 200 hours plus. The features would only need to shift slightly for a significantly different outcome. Not impossible 200 hours out on an op.I’d rather it showed blue... but still.
  13. chris21
    Pretty stout west based neg nao doing it’s thing there.
  14. chris21
    I’ll take my chances with colder air and that beautiful west based block and -EPO.
  15. chris21
    It’s a fair amount cooler than it has been recently however so there’s that.
  16. chris21
    I’ll take that look all day and on Sunday. Overrunning galore. We might miss out on a couple Miller b’s but at least it will be active with the potential for something to travel under the block.
  17. chris21
    GFS looks good!
  18. chris21
    While they could be right for the wrong reasons I would tend to just look at the 850 mb anomalies. The long range 2m temp anomalies are atrocious to say the least.
  19. chris21
    Isotherm was more optimistic than I expected for sure.
  20. chris21
    If you are experienced with driving in snow in the mountains you’ll be fine. I was probably more adventurous than I should have been in my Camry but I never had any issues even in blizzard conditions. I will say that I lived near snowshoe for a couple years so Im relatively experienced with it. Even though it’s in the south, the counties to the north and west of Asheville average enough snow (between 40-90 inches) to be mostly on the ball with road clearing operations.
  21. chris21
    They have a tiny amount of big years and the average temps are warmer. I’m thinking more about NW DC/Bethesda climo than DCA. Most of their snow comes from 1 inch upslope events that melt within hours. Those same events dump lots of snow up high though.
  22. chris21
    Im looking at places in Roan, Beech and Boone. My gf is surprisingly ok with the 3500’ requirement so I’m going all in. If you live in Asheville it’s unbelievably easy to chase snow. Most spots are 20-30 minutes from decent upslope locations. The city itself normally misses out.
  23. chris21
    I used to live in Asheville and although there is elevation it is def less snowy than DC. They are def getting somewhat lucky so far.
  24. chris21
    It was 2007! My senior year of college at St. Mary’s.
  25. chris21
    Did you mean April 9, 2006? In Ridge, MD (a couple miles north of point lookout) there was 4-5 slushy inches in a short time period with crazy heavy snow. It was unbelievably cold for April also so piles and patches of it could be seen for 4 more days making it a real unusual landscape for far Southern Maryland in mid April.
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