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chris21

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Everything posted by chris21

  1. chris21
    Hey man... the HRRR has dc in some light snow tonight for the first time as of the latest run. I’m starting to care a bit more after this latest debacle.
  2. chris21
    CMC really beefed up qpf for Saturday. Kind of surprised to see that to be honest.
  3. chris21
    This could also be why March has become more of a winter month in dc lately.
  4. chris21
    It will snow again in DC!!
  5. chris21
    We had a nice ice storm that accumulated on the roads here in nw dc less than two weeks ago.
  6. chris21
    35/31 rain snow mix in NW.
  7. chris21
    Yeah... the trends def are not good but we have a major issue with calling a storm before it even starts. The last three day snowfall was an excellent example... everyone was whining and bitching for days but we still managed 5.5 beautiful inches in nw and I enjoyed it thoroughly. Some of our members would should check out Marcus Aurelius’ Meditations.
  8. chris21
    We have busted high many a time. Most recently Jan 2019 was a nice positive bust.
  9. chris21
    The snow map is def wonky. I’m seeing temps on the para of about 32-33 in the northern half of the district at least. Hoping that that might be at least good for 1-2 inches of snow/sleet.
  10. chris21
    It’s frustrating... but hopefully we can catch a break this time... it’s very close and I’ll pretty much take sleet or snow at this point.
  11. chris21
    The NAM nest shows a general 3-7 inches from just south of DC to the PA line.
  12. chris21
    If DC gets the 1.4 inches of qpf the NAM spots out in frozen form over the next 84 hours... whether that be snow or sleet or freezing rain... I’ll be pretty satisfied.
  13. chris21
    The NAM shows the temp dropping below freezing early tomorrow morning. But yeah... that’s almost always a concern in the city unfortunately, even more so downtown.
  14. chris21
    Thats kind of picking the worst panel... and doesn't really give a good overview of the general pattern evolution.
  15. chris21
    It was actually pretty decent... even from Uber long range.
  16. chris21
    47 here in NW.
  17. chris21
    As a resident of DC for almost 30 years... it does snow here contrary to popular opinion. I don’t think this will have any problem sticking. Every time we have a snow drought period it’s really impacted the boards psyche.
  18. chris21
    I’ll take whatever we can get in dc. Euro still looks good for at least 3 inches and is the furthest south driest... Hopefully the trend stops at 18z.
  19. chris21
    It’s below freezing... think that would be sleet on the icon.
  20. chris21
    Definitely. The NAM does show dewpoints around 27-29 with a temp of 33 during moderate snow at night. Would imagine wet bulbing would be more effective...
  21. chris21
    I’m doing the same... honestly.... I live in NW DC and even though I haven’t maxed out on every event so far this year, I’ve enjoyed each one and am looking forward to this weeks event, even if it isn’t 18 inches with drifts to 5 feet and temps crashing to zero.
  22. chris21
    The 6z gfs run had at least five separate (mostly snowy threats). We don’t live in Whistler, BC or even Davis, wv for that matter.
  23. chris21
    Apparently, when model consensus is greater than 6 inches at DCA 36 hours out, we have that luxury.
  24. chris21
    In my experience, the feb 10th sunlight factor under overcast conditions with Igor snow and temps around 28, would not inhibit accumulation even on paved surfaces. That’s just been my experience.
  25. chris21
    This is more of an overrunning situation, not like the previous two storms where intense banding resulted in large areas of subsidence. Overrunning tends to be far more uniform.
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