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Cobalt

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Everything posted by Cobalt

  1. Ignoring how weird the surface panels are (GFS being GFS with thermals hopefully??).. the QPF isn't bad. Not a 3" QPF bomb like 0z and 6z but yeah more believable
  2. It's only going to get newer!
  3. Higher heights ahead of the storm but I guess it didnt do much. Still gets some precip into DC, and yeah it's a great hit for points south
  4. Decent.. precip rolling through still. Hope this trend continues
  5. 850s never go below -1 even in S DE, and are colder than that for a fair bit of the storm. I'm guessing it's just GFS being weird with snow output.
  6. The wettest panel is.. quite the slouch to say the least
  7. The first map Weather Will posted includes the storm on the 25th/26th.
  8. ^^^ This is my biggest takeaway from the 12z run. Lots of members get us on the board.
  9. My biggest drive towards seeing/enjoying snow is mainly for my German Shepherd. He's nearing old age at around 12, and I can't stress it enough when I say that he absolutely loves snow. He must know that I'm into it too because he's pretty keen to when it's snowing, and trying to get me outside to join him. My fondest memory of that is the Blizzard of 2016 (happy 5th year anniversary to that!!). He experienced 09/10, but I was too young to remember a single thing from that winter (sorry for making PSU and others feel old, again :/). But here's a pic from that winter of me, my brother, and my German Shepherd Gus. Great times.
  10. est panel out of them. Pretty great 12z suite so far.
  11. It is honestly comical how an entire model sweet can take away two threats within 6 days and then bring them back basically a model suite later. Not often we lose 2 threats or gain them like that.
  12. The QPF out of that run is absurd.. obviously not all snow for the costal plains but yeah, juicy.
  13. Icon starting off the 12z suite nicely.. had the first feature farther northwest which seems to have helped a fair bit.
  14. Seems like that would be a good positive then, since that's also related to the Tennessee valley piece that PSU was talking about, yeah? I'm not sure, but your analysis seems to make sense.
  15. Not smart enough to analyze this but just figured I'd provide this here
  16. The off hour EPS runs are still barely out of range (I completely forgot the storm is still 6 days out until seeing this), but it seems like the EPS is insistent on a good slug of moisture. Here's the last panel of the run 6z GEFS looks pretty similar at this time too, and that certainly didn't have a North Carolina jackpot look on it's means
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