Cobalt

Ukie didn't seem to hold back all too much, interesting to see if the Euro is similar

Apologies, only if the models would support a storm for them that is. Not trying to backseat forecast in a subforum that doesn't belong to us ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Anywho, getting off topic, but the ICON seems to be getting Saturday's storm out of the way a bit earlier. Wonder how that'll translate to Tuesday's event given the extra spacing.

We gotta get the Southeastern forum to make threads about southern sliders so we can swoop in and will them our way I guess

Yup, today/Saturday's storm lingering longer thru 57hrs was a good indicator that the storm would miss any type of phase. But then again, NAM. Not enthralled with the chances but snow showers in December don't sound like the end of the world.

It's really trying to continue that Dec 5 magic. Maybe December 5th needed to take a gap decade and is back for the 2020s?

I admire your optimism. BWI: 10.4" DCA: 6.8" IAD: 13.6" RIC: 5.4" Tiebreaker (SBY): 4.2"

Yeah not sure that's a large enough sample size. 16-17 and 17-18 were both ninas, 18-19 at least brought most in the area to climo with the Dec and Jan storms, and of course 19-20 was a torchfest. That just seems like a random mixed bag, we've certainly had multiple instances of that within even the 21st century, a good bit in the 80s/90s too. Considering how much of a distinct lack of sustained blocking we've had since 10-11 I'd say that maybe that was when the flip was switched, but what do I know I guess.

Considering that the Falcons were one blown lead from making that record 1-11, Im starting to think that maybe they should exclude the NFC East from playoff contention real soon :p

Cant wait to be leading the division at 1-2!

Yeah that makes sense. Seems like we're getting guaranteed storms or at least guaranteed potentials for hits every single time we get blocking nowadays, but of course the tradeoff is that we're in a period where periods of blocking are far and few between. Wonder if that's just a general climo shift of some sort.

Aside from abundant blocking, was there any reason that it seems like that's been the only Nina in recent memory that produced those sorts of results? Seems like that winter also had some some characteristics that were unlike a Nina too so I guess that could be why just about any blocking we've had in recent Ninas has fallen short.

That's the only one I remember from that year. We had gotten a dachshund just a few weeks prior and for the first time we had to dig out paths for her to even be able to walk out side. Wouldn't end up being the first time in that few year span either.

Haven't we not had a colder than average October in around a decade, with the last one being October 2009? Not trying to throw out outliers like that, but it's hard to assume something like that when the sample size in recent memory is rather limited. But yes I agree with the sentiment surrounding what the colors will look like come December.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but weren't you here during 13-14? Seems like a rather prolific winter with little to no breaks. Sucks that I have no recollection of that winter.. or 09/10.. or of 02/03..

Perfect running weather today, pristine weather for September standards

BWI: 11/5 IAD:10/27 DCA: 11/5 RIC: 11/5 TB: 85

2021 mock draft time already??

Imagine losing to Football Team Does this mean our hashtag is #HTTFT?

Raining

That SpaceX launch yesterday was particularly exciting. Felt like just for a moment we were united under the same goal, seeing 4 million+ people watch the launch was pretty inspiring

Wow.. the COVID-19 talk is getting so bad that mother nature wants to shut us all up for a moment by giving us a snow threat

I feel especially bad for the people who are living in those nursing homes, I'd imagine there's a sense of paranoia in those environments :/

Remember that these estimates bump up the death toll and amount of cases by a considerable amount. You are picturing it like these death tolls should've been estimated at higher numbers, when in reality the estimations are likely accurate. However, when comparing those confirmed deaths at the time to those of COVID-19 currently, there's almost no comparison. Especially when considering that there have likely been a lot of explained deaths before when COVID-19 took off in the U.S This also happened with H1N1, where confirmed deaths were a mere fraction of the "estimated" death toll of 12,000 ^ Outdated graph but it gets the point across quite clearly (as of April 3rd in the graph)