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Cobalt

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Everything posted by Cobalt

  1. Cobalt
    Previous run had the WAA snow falling apart too.. interestingly enough its on its own in that regard it seems
  2. Cobalt
    Pretty similar. Snows from hr 132 to hr 186 and still going lol. We could only hope
  3. Cobalt
    Para GFS looks pretty fun
  4. Cobalt
    No kidding! I feel like we're due for one to go our way though.. The 12z Euro run reminded me a lot of what the March 2017 Miller B storm turned out to be (half screw job), but that was a few tweaks away from working out big time. Glad to be tracking again though.
  5. Cobalt
    Fringed!
  6. Cobalt
    I mainly just remember it being progged to be a snow to rain event from like 5 days out. Off and on 3-5" and 1-3" looks but it juiced up pretty well, typical CAD held serve and there was some sleet alongside it too.
  7. Cobalt
    Not sure if this is the right place to sidetrack this thread but.. I'm surprised people don't mention Feb 20 2019 with decent snowfall in that winter. I got 4.0" on the dot here in McLean, so surely a 2-4" event wouldn't be the biggest since the event prior to that. Anyways, I digress, 18z held serve, hoping for the best for everyone here!!
  8. Cobalt
    The primary drives through there and transfers offshore. 0z took way more lps on a visit through Michigan and western New York so that's actually not bad lol. Considering the cold air and CAD signal I guess it's advantageous for us to have it in Ohio/Indiana as PSU mentioned we wanted with the Thursday event.
  9. Cobalt
    Some good hits in this mean.. still favors NW but given the seasonal trends we're in a good spot this far out Lp cluster Don't look at the Euro control lol
  10. Cobalt
    Confirms my thoughts in regards to the 0z low camp and the improved look on the 6z. Way less lows track into the great lakes and even a few transfers take it off the coast of NC. Good trends, and to be expected at this range. During this time with the Thursday threat the Euro fully lost the storm IIRC.
  11. Cobalt
    Can someone explain what in the world the RMP model is?? Lovechild of RAP and Deep Thunder??
  12. Cobalt
    Seems like a camp of lows at the 0z EPS favored a transfer in a pretty decent spot.. 6z looked even better with a bit more confluence and a weaker lp before transfer (but of course it only goes out to 144, which also shows how far out this is lol). Will be interesting to see the look at this panel for 12z, I'd expect some similar looking lps, maybe an improved camp of them.
  13. Cobalt
    12z Para agrees, pretty decent hit for many DC and NW. Even though the GFS camp seems to not want to transfer to the coast until way late, it still has some decent front end snow with that retreating coldish airmass.
  14. Cobalt
    This captures the full period I believe (initial thump and then costal redevelopment??)
  15. Cobalt
    I'll be the first to say it but.. right where we want it??
  16. Cobalt
    Here's the probability of 1" of snow just to get the full picture: Compared to 18z and yeah you can tell which is better
  17. Cobalt
    GFS is not gonna get a handle on the snow maps even with Kuchera.. using a precip map shows that yeah its pretty juicy for many.
  18. Cobalt
  19. Cobalt
    I think part of it is losing the super amped lows that actually cut through our area. Hope the bleeding SE stops, but for now we can handle it
  20. Cobalt
    Isn't this similar to what the 12z Canadian did yesterday?
  21. Cobalt
    Para is probably more realistic with snow/precip distribution.
  22. Cobalt
  23. Cobalt
    Ignoring how weird the surface panels are (GFS being GFS with thermals hopefully??).. the QPF isn't bad. Not a 3" QPF bomb like 0z and 6z but yeah more believable
  24. Cobalt
    It's only going to get newer!
  25. Cobalt
    Super inland solutions
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