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Cobalt

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Everything posted by Cobalt

  1. Cobalt
    Confirms my thoughts in regards to the 0z low camp and the improved look on the 6z. Way less lows track into the great lakes and even a few transfers take it off the coast of NC. Good trends, and to be expected at this range. During this time with the Thursday threat the Euro fully lost the storm IIRC.
  2. Cobalt
    Can someone explain what in the world the RMP model is?? Lovechild of RAP and Deep Thunder??
  3. Cobalt
    Seems like a camp of lows at the 0z EPS favored a transfer in a pretty decent spot.. 6z looked even better with a bit more confluence and a weaker lp before transfer (but of course it only goes out to 144, which also shows how far out this is lol). Will be interesting to see the look at this panel for 12z, I'd expect some similar looking lps, maybe an improved camp of them.
  4. Cobalt
    12z Para agrees, pretty decent hit for many DC and NW. Even though the GFS camp seems to not want to transfer to the coast until way late, it still has some decent front end snow with that retreating coldish airmass.
  5. Cobalt
    This captures the full period I believe (initial thump and then costal redevelopment??)
  6. Cobalt
    I'll be the first to say it but.. right where we want it??
  7. Cobalt
    Here's the probability of 1" of snow just to get the full picture: Compared to 18z and yeah you can tell which is better
  8. Cobalt
    GFS is not gonna get a handle on the snow maps even with Kuchera.. using a precip map shows that yeah its pretty juicy for many.
  9. Cobalt
  10. Cobalt
    I think part of it is losing the super amped lows that actually cut through our area. Hope the bleeding SE stops, but for now we can handle it
  11. Cobalt
    Isn't this similar to what the 12z Canadian did yesterday?
  12. Cobalt
    Para is probably more realistic with snow/precip distribution.
  13. Cobalt
  14. Cobalt
    Ignoring how weird the surface panels are (GFS being GFS with thermals hopefully??).. the QPF isn't bad. Not a 3" QPF bomb like 0z and 6z but yeah more believable
  15. Cobalt
    It's only going to get newer!
  16. Cobalt
    Super inland solutions
  17. Cobalt
    Is this even legal?
  18. Cobalt
    Fringed!
  19. Cobalt
    Higher heights ahead of the storm but I guess it didnt do much. Still gets some precip into DC, and yeah it's a great hit for points south
  20. Cobalt
    Decent.. precip rolling through still. Hope this trend continues
  21. Cobalt
    850s never go below -1 even in S DE, and are colder than that for a fair bit of the storm. I'm guessing it's just GFS being weird with snow output.
  22. Cobalt
    Juicy
  23. Cobalt
    Dumping
  24. Cobalt
    The wettest panel is.. quite the slouch to say the least
  25. Cobalt
    The first map Weather Will posted includes the storm on the 25th/26th.
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