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Everything posted by Cobalt
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lol okay so a 12 month sample makes you question "why such a small sample size?" But a 52 day sample size is clearly good enough for you to post Explain this to me. Why is a 52 day data set better than a 12 month one?
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lol your talking points ran in a circle and immediately go back to my entire point of that whole post.
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Lol remember this. I wonder what's happened with the national temperatures since this poi- Oh, the warmest such 12 months on record for the CONUS. So the 58th coldest Jan-Feb on record (what Chesco so happily posted last year with his above chart) got pretty gleeful coverage from him, but the warmest 12 month stretch for the US gets nothing. I wonder why?
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Lol the tried and tested method of taking non-scientist rhetoric and making it seem like the consensus. Oh well, that line of thinking will die out with your generation. For now, we live in a world where that kind of distortion doesn't change reality.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Cobalt replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Not the chart (which you already reposted with a Tweet 2 posts before this one btw), but the entire content of the tweet leading up to it Every line containing the hallmarks of AI, completely synthetic fluff packaged into a tweet format. I sincerely hope you don't follow this guy and just found them by searching up keywords like "Super El Nino", but I also wouldn't put it past you. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Cobalt replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That second post is entirely generated by AI. Cool to know that you’re fine with posting slop so long as it hits all of the Paul Roundy super El Niño talking points. -
Chester County PA - Analytical Battle of Actual vs. Altered Climate Data
Cobalt replied to ChescoWx's topic in Climate Change
You have to be playing a persona, right? Because you can't just go on to say this and then go on to IMMEDIATELY post this it is beyond parody. -
Chester County PA - Analytical Battle of Actual vs. Altered Climate Data
Cobalt replied to ChescoWx's topic in Climate Change
Unironically posting a graph like that should get you banned from any scientific community ever. The absolute failure of even Stats 101-level thinking is abhorrent to a degree where it feels like Chesco is playing a persona. -
Must’ve been 1992, the year after Pinatubo? My Oceanography professor recalled frost on his car in Harrisonburg in June of that year.
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There's a whole laundry list of "winter's over" posts from December-January by all of the usual suspects. We know they'll make similar calls this next winter or the next and will be spot on, but it's not exactly bold to be in the warm & snowless camp when that feels like an increasing majority of our winters. It's like going all in on bonds and saying I told you so when they return 4% after a year lol
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I'm more-so in awe at the bold call at play. So you don't think the anafront snow will stick in mid 30s daytime March temperatures following an 85 degree day? Simply brazen prediction.
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You only stop by this subforum when there's bad news to dump on our heads so you haven't had a chance to look around and realize that the vast majority of us are in Spring mode. We're semi-checked out. Every single one of us knows those maps won't verify. So why post them? Because it's fun. Because it passes the time until tomorrow when non-accumulating slush balls fall out of the sky. Nobody is attaching the enjoyment of their Thursday and beyond to if the GFS is correctly predicting the biggest March storm in a decade. And almost certainly, nobody here was waiting for the guy who predicted torch Winter 25-26 to tell us the GFS might be a bit off with its snowfall amounts.
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It took me 2 minutes to backread and find a post that you should've been five-posted for. Don't come around here talking about dwindling snow prospects when you're batting .150 at a time when it is BY FAR THE EASIEST to predict warm snowless winters and be right. Nobody's gonna call you an oracle when you're saying snow won't stick the day after it hits 85 degrees.
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Yeah, I agree. What’s the RGEM show??
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The audacity of "Weather Decision Solutions" trying to plop their copyright onto an AI-Generated graphic is laughable.
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Back to back posts. Just lol
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The one time I need DCA to put up a pitiful early March daytime measurement..
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Guaranteeing something that will probably happen
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Coldest winter since 2002-03, and likewise with the coldest period since August 1st.
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Very surprised at these record lows coming at the tail end of two absolutely torcherrific months.
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Wow.
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
Cobalt replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
The icing on the cake is that the GFS hasn’t shown precip in that area for the past 3 runs. It decided to give up right as it was at the finish line -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
Cobalt replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
There's gotta be a new term for this. Slant sticking is when you're salty about your own snow measurements so you inflate your own totals. What do you call it when you're salty about your own snow measurements so you go out and deflate other people's snow totals? -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
Cobalt replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Occam's razor. Either 50+ trained spotters with corroborating radar history + liquid equivalent measurements + hundreds of non-trained measurers were completely off their rockers and ALL mismeasured by half the storm's total or greater, or.. one emotionally-charged postered missed out on the best banding, and got salty about it? -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
Cobalt replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Okay you got me, and all of the shadow measurers who've co-conspired to fake the snowfall totals all across SNE, working in collaboration with Big Accordion to get you so frustrated with this hobby that you go out and impulse buy 10 Pigini Mythos accordions to fix the snow drift-sized hole in your heart. You've busted us, just like your snow forecast busted. The jig is up. You happy now?
