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Cobalt

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Everything posted by Cobalt

  1. Cobalt
    This is actually NW of 12z lol Control is still a bomb too. Weird that the EPS went up pretty well compared to it's Op brother.
  2. Cobalt
    The EPS looks pretty similar to 12z, if not a tiny bit North. Certainly not a step back. I'd imagine that ensembles are pretty decent at this range.
  3. Cobalt
    GFS transfer still gets Norther Maryland into some of the costal snow.. let's see if it stalls there
  4. Cobalt
    Considering the worry of fringe.. that's a decent run. Still basically WSW snows for DC and west, Northern Maryland gets a great snow
  5. Cobalt
    The control is a full on Virginia special.. costal is pivoting bands up through DC at this time with temps in the mid 20s. Nuts
  6. Cobalt
    As far as I remember, the actual costal feature of that storm was found pretty far in, maybe like 3-4 days beforehand. Before that the WAA was looking like the main event, and it continued to trend warmer, putting DC out of the game before the costal part got latched onto.
  7. Cobalt
    18z snow mean.. Compared to 12z.. Precip for these panels sucks to compare because it's only 24 hour intervals on WxBell, but the snow mean should suffice There's a word for this but I can't seem to find it... anyone?
  8. Cobalt
    Definite improvement. Kuchera is even higher, and we get into the costal action this time. It's very obviously bleeding to the Euro. Even then.. if you find this a disaster, you need to move to a place that gets way more snow, preferably out of this subforum's range.
  9. Cobalt
    GFS has 4-6" from the WAA alone, with more to the North of us as the costal gets cranking. Def a step in the right direction, this feels like Saturday's trends for the Thursday event where the GFS slowly sank SE but we had that glimmer of hope
  10. Cobalt
    ICON at hr 117. Compared to previous run it's rather similar, hard to compare since it actually scoots the lp in faster, but the lp seems maybe like 25-50 miles north and somewhat weaker than the 12z run. Decent WAA thump with it too
  11. Cobalt
    Improvement
  12. Cobalt
    If we're taking the Icon's snowfall duration into consideration.. are you talking about this weekend or the weekend after that?
  13. Cobalt
    NAM range for onset of WAA might make sense.. by then the track before costal is pretty set and then the details that'll come into med/short range will just be the stuff after. Got a long 24-48hrs to go!
  14. Cobalt
    No better time for dancing than after a pity party. Still lots of time for this to go wrong, but nevertheless the good vibes will continue. We'll all float on, good news is on the way
  15. Cobalt
    That's not what I meant in the slightest
  16. Cobalt
  17. Cobalt
  18. Cobalt
    The cluster! Ninja'd, but it doesnt matter, thats a great agreement and gives some leeway too. Great run coming up
  19. Cobalt
    If you're considering the end of the storm, yeah. Transfer happens near hr 130. Still def EPS range though, the next 24-48 hours will really show if the Euro can nail this thing or if it completely lets go. WDI unloading on us to make up for the past 5 years??
  20. Cobalt
    I was told it might snow Monday? What's the Euro showing?
  21. Cobalt
    That seems correct. Also a great overall bump in the snow mean. It's forced to be 5 days but it should be uncontaminated from other events
  22. Cobalt
    How does this compare to 0z?
  23. Cobalt
    Is that.. son of TPV 1 up in Maine?? This is giving me deja vu because I could've sworn that the Canadian was the first to pick up on this feature for the Thurs event
  24. Cobalt
    I think.. it's still going after 180? Precip panels not showing up for that timeframe but it appears so. Absolute eye candy, but at least it's not on a complete island... edit: yeah it keeps us snowing through 180 and maybe beyond lol
  25. Cobalt
    The low just... meanders. The fact that this GIF takes up like 5% of my attachment space shows that yeah it's pretty lengthy lol
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