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DownpourDave

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by DownpourDave

  1. Should the airport total not be trusted then? At the very least the discrepancy seems weird.
  2. Why does the airport always record lower than surrounding locations it seems like. Alexandria which is not that far recorded 9.2 inches. Somehow, a 4.2 mile difference= almost 3 inches difference in snow?
  3. Philly skyline drive through the city. IMG_1179.HEIC
  4. My brother who lives in Alexandria wants to know how much snow he can expect. It would be reasonable to tell him at least 5 inches?
  5. Still time for that. very important 6 gfs run for sure coming!
  6. I know it is the long range HRRR but looking at the 00z run at 20 hours. Energy seems to be held back more near Texas with there being less confluence to the Northeast. Edit: ninja'd dammit.
  7. This would be more snow than the last 2 winters combined for some areas.
  8. Below freezing at all levels. This is not a sleet sounding. If the gfs is to be believed. DC has a chance at seeing plowable snow.
  9. Here is a picture. A little bit dusty, haven't really used it in a while because it stopped working. Lasted me 2 years. @WxUSAF
  10. I also have a LA Crosse weather station but I think the model I have is not as nice. This looks a lot nicer but I don't know.
  11. Has anyone actually ever gotten an exposure notification. My brother that lives in Alexandria did but turns out never got sick.
  12. I assume the mods already know about it. Hopefully they ban the account.
  13. anyone else get a random NSFW message. Probably a bot I am guessing. I already reported the message.
  14. Maybe a good pattern just in time for my journey back to the states. Hopefully....
  15. So if we could sign up for the year that followed but it meant crappy winter this year, you sign up for that?
  16. Wish we had recon certainty looks better than 100 mph.
  17. Water Temperatures north of the gulf stream near the NYC area range from 21-24 C. Not sure what the average is but how soon would you expect an increase to 26 C(minimum requirement for TC).
  18. Yup it is I clearly see it now. No evidence of a secondary wind maxima.
  19. I would think pressure data alone supports cat 5 considering they found 145-150 mph winds at 943mb. I think it is reasonable to assume the winds increased with the pressure drop before the wind field started to expand with the ERC causing the winds to decrease as the pressure gradient decreased. Anyways off to bed now already 1 in the morning.
  20. Pressure is down to 932mb but winds do not support cat 5 maybe because of eyewall replacement cycle? Can it be inferred it was a cat 5 at one point or not enough data
  21. It very well could have been a cat 5 and we might never know, lets see what recon has to say.
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