Why does the airport always record lower than surrounding locations it seems like. Alexandria which is not that far recorded 9.2 inches. Somehow, a 4.2 mile difference= almost 3 inches difference in snow?
I know it is the long range HRRR but looking at the 00z run at 20 hours. Energy seems to be held back more near Texas with there being less confluence to the Northeast.
Edit: ninja'd dammit.
Water Temperatures north of the gulf stream near the NYC area range from 21-24 C. Not sure what the average is but how soon would you expect an increase to 26 C(minimum requirement for TC).
I would think pressure data alone supports cat 5 considering they found 145-150 mph winds at 943mb. I think it is reasonable to assume the winds increased with the pressure drop before the wind field started to expand with the ERC causing the winds to decrease as the pressure gradient decreased. Anyways off to bed now already 1 in the morning.
Pressure is down to 932mb but winds do not support cat 5 maybe because of eyewall replacement cycle? Can it be inferred it was a cat 5 at one point or not enough data