DownpourDave
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Everything posted by DownpourDave
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out to 9 hours euro looks more similar to 0z than 6z FWIW.
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what if the euro actually trends more amped? It would be almost comical at this point.
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Time of Death: 1:05 PM kidding but not kidding but seriously... I won't know what to think if the euro holds serve still.
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You win some, you lose some. I have no shame in that. Credit to where it is due. I'll take the L and one that I am happy to take
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I got the sense people were hoping the gfs would move more toward the euro than it did but your right no one said such thing. There are improvements on the gfs at h5 which is a positive.
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improvements yes but not a cave.... id feel a lot better if the gfs moved to the euro faster.....
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Well.... the gfs won't be caving to the euro tonight. Euro up next.... something has to give.... I wonder which model blinks first?
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Don't believe it... it is Iconning us!
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now if the 18z euro can hold the line or even trend better lol.
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Never said it looked better or worse. Just said it looks nothing like the euro.
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lets just say the gfs won't get it done this run. The changes are laughable at h5 vs the 12z euro. They are worlds apart.
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uh oh.... Seriously you would think it would not just impact the euro though.
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??? no they aren't.
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your timing is impeccable lol. Today would've been her 100th birthday.
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would not take too much of an adjustment at range. Verbatim goes negative too late by a little bit.
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as I said before key thing to look out for is what happens out west. The energy does not cut off, it phases with the northern stream ala CMC and Euro.
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compare h5 84 hours gfs to h5 84 hours NAM. Then see what happens on the gfs. You can surmise the nam was heading in the same direction.
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IMO, figuring out what happens near Baja California is key. The 6z gfs is a miss because it cuts off and leaves energy behind there. FWIW, the 12z NAM would've been a miss as well. Leaves energy behind. The 6z euro would have been good most likely. Very similar to 0z does not leave energy behind at 90 hours. Only 84-90 hours out to figuring it out. Something has to give!
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Hopefully im not the only person still awake... EPS
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close up
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the screen name checks out.
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I was in Hamburg just recently.... Hamburg, Germany that is
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Damn I might need to drive up on Sunday. Original plan was to be in Upstate by next Friday. At the very least should be a solid snowpack by the time I get there on Friday after the storm (assuming nothing changes)
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Short Pump does well lol.
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Significantly more confluence in the NE. what are you talking about?
