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DownpourDave

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by DownpourDave

  1. DownpourDave
    Im getting a good amount of snow in Geneva NY from lake effect. Do not see that very often.
  2. DownpourDave
    I liked the look of the cmc and gfs. Gets precipitation into the finger lakes region. CCB hits us.
  3. DownpourDave
    nam would have been supressed if it had run out to 144 hours. Confluence is worse than the euro. DC would have jackpotted this run. @psuhoffman fringed. Seem about right?
  4. DownpourDave
    hopefully the icon holds. it is all we have left.
  5. DownpourDave
    euro destroys Philly with CCB. Damn I wish I was home right now. So mad.
  6. DownpourDave
    I wish I was home right now and not at school. I am missing a once a decade snowstorm. Damn....
  7. DownpourDave
    if anything it will look like the ukie. Confluence much further south. You will love it. Me naso much
  8. DownpourDave
    euro trending toward an even cleaner phase will not look good oh well... next.... also confluence is worse trending toward ukie
  9. DownpourDave
    the cleaner phase the more consolidated the precipitation is to the low. The trend toward a cleaner phase has been real. it is a concern.
  10. DownpourDave
    we need to root for a sloppy phase
  11. DownpourDave
    yup gfs is bad. Well it was fun while it lasted. We probually will not get much of any snow from the coastal. Our best hope was for a sloppy phase so it would be less consolidated.
  12. DownpourDave
    I did not like the icon. went southeast. We do not have a lot of wiggle room up here. I am counting on the seasonal NW trend to hold strong.
  13. DownpourDave
    lol if Ontario county actually gets .2 precipitation *30 ratios = 6 inches of snow easy.
  14. DownpourDave
    remember when it was said Geneva does not get much lake effect snow. This particular run is interesting in that regard lol. 7 inches of LES.
  15. DownpourDave
    northern stream is quicker this run, this run should result in a complete phase.
  16. DownpourDave
    Closed upper-level low over Missouri at hour 72. Confluence has backed off a bit more vs 12z.
  17. DownpourDave
    I would guess 3-4 inches currently in protected areas. 1-2 inches in exposed areas.
  18. DownpourDave
    yeah when we do get lake effect it is generally 1-3 while other places are getting blasted with 3 feet +
  19. DownpourDave
    I got it. So the CCB would be nice obviously but places Syracuse and west really should not count on it. We need to root for good snow from the WAA.
  20. DownpourDave
    Yes that run. The 00z gfs.
  21. DownpourDave
    what is your opinion about the gfs? How often do you see the finger lakes region get CCB action. Seems like it would not be very common.
  22. DownpourDave
    it is gorgeous. CCB pivots right over us. 24 hour + snowstorm with ratios in that CCB probably pushing 18:1 +
  23. DownpourDave
    Closes off over Kansas
  24. DownpourDave
    even so it has been consistent. Maybe it will fall on its sword.
  25. DownpourDave
    Icon once again is a great run for us. Man I would love it to be correct. How good is the model.
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