RDRY
-
Posts
728 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by RDRY
-
I don't check the ensembles, but isn't the operational more reliable in the shorter-term?
-
GFS has pulled a few coups this season, assuming the Dr. No mantle. It has to be factored in right now -- it's being incredibly consistent with this storm.
-
That's mean. Because of their ownership foibles, the perception around the league is that they're the Knicks. But they actually have a very solid, balanced team this year.
-
Cespedes does not approve.
-
-
The 0z CMC had a closed low near the benchmark at 108 (even though it escaped east) -- this run has it open and further east. This run is worse. Am I wrong? I'm probably wrong.
-
That lead energy is going to be there and it's going to rob the system behind it of moisture/dynamics. So, two things need to happen: 1) The lead energy needs to speed up and move out quicker (not really happening on the 12z GFS). 2) The two vorts behind it need to sync up cleaner, with the northern vort diving down (that clearly is happening).
-
At hour 60, the NAM is at least trying to sync the main precip with the northern energy, but then it escapes and jumps to a low off South Carolina at 63 -- which is game over. I suppose there's still time for the models to follow through with that initial linkage, but it's running out fast.
-
They seem to have similar evolutions regarding northern stream interaction -- the northern energy lags behind on all of them.
-
The models aren't "guessing." In fact, there's a relatively solid consensus among the major globals.
-
Remarkably consistent incremental westward shifts on last 4 GFS runs.
-
if you wanna laugh look at what the JMA does between 120 and 144 on TT. blows up and retrogades
-
Big storm … yeah. It's Gulf Coast evolution is straight out of an ice age.
-
January 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
RDRY replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Ah, the EURO with the next tracking debacle to appropriately close this fine month. Two days to meltdown? Four? -
Chaos theory?
-
GEM is a worse model than the GFS -- it's much more erratic.
-
That's brutal. Ski resorts there would probably prefer plain rain.
-
That is such a late March look.
-
Curious, how has Deep Thunder performed so far?
-
A 950 MB east coast blizzard ... sure, why the hell not.
-
I guess it's displacing that high due to lack of blocking.
-
The GFS is at it again, with its latest run driving the long-ways-off Dec. 23 storm right through a massive Midwest-Northeast high pressure. This is an odd fetish with the GFS long range. You'd think the programmers could address it.
-
Snowing angry in Lenox.
-
Yup. Back to snow.
-
West Stockbridge
