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Paleocene

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Everything posted by Paleocene

  1. Paleocene
    GFS consistent with NAM with snow at first, but thermals are close at the surface for DC metro area.
  2. Paleocene
    I am choosing to believe that this panel on the 3k nam is true. it holds for a few hours but 850s are warming (winds out of the south at that level) verbatim on the NAM 3k, north of I-70 could hold as snow most of the afternoon? someone please correct me if I'm wrong
  3. Paleocene
    Precip moving in at 15z sat.
  4. Paleocene
    I have a friend who is a fed who works in the PGH region; with people in this region. At a virtual all hands yesterday, he said people in the DC region were honking about a "major winter storm" this weekend which would lead to closures on Monday. Hilarious, but man, the proliferation of bad analysis of models/snow maps is problematic.
  5. Paleocene
  6. Paleocene
  7. Paleocene
    Come on NAM!
  8. Paleocene
    I just want to be able to walk around while it's snowing in the daytime saturday .... please
  9. Paleocene
  10. Paleocene
    Maybe some more front end action next tues: that storm is quite productive with precip:
  11. Paleocene
    Gonna use all of my 98 meters!
  12. Paleocene
    Agreed, we are still alive on I-95 corridor.
  13. Paleocene
    Light snow into DC metro area by 15z Saturday. Holds thru 18z as snow, temps in the 32-34 range along 95. This thing races through -- precip out of the area by 00z Sun
  14. Paleocene
    I'm getting wishcasty, but the decent cold push Thurs- Friday overnight should help cool down the ground to help white rain/front end thump accumulate. Below freezing down into the carolinas.
  15. Paleocene
    Can always count on RGEM or NAM to have a juicy snow output at this range.
  16. Paleocene
    NAM'D
  17. Paleocene
    Nice. If you want want to get out of town, the hills NW of Gettysburg are beautiful. Head out route 234 thru arendtsville then up to pine grove furnace. great state park there in the same little mountain ridge zone that makes up catoctin/camp david.
  18. Paleocene
    I am not a meteorologist so take what I say with a grain of salt and pay attention to the forecast in the coming days. The storm will be out of the area by sunday mid-day, but roads may still be icy. 22/322 are major roads in central PA so they will get priority treatment. Check traffic cams before you leave: https://www.511pa.com/cameralisting.aspx
  19. Paleocene
    Not a big fan of this panel for MBY, it's following the GFS 12z
  20. Paleocene
  21. Paleocene
    Love the location of the 0° C line on that valid 06z sunday panel!
  22. Paleocene
    Yeah, the temp maps verbatim have most of the region (east of the blue ridge) above freezing during the bulk of the heavy snowfall.
  23. Paleocene
  24. Paleocene
    Here's the surface of the 18z ICON at 120 hours (18z sat): versus 12z run (valid 18z sat): The low is right on the SC/NC coastal border, instead of hanging back in GA. ICON also has a stronger high up top on the newer run by a few mbs
  25. Paleocene
    I hear you, I just love seeing this solution versus the low running through Charleston WV, lol. We've got the high and low in the right place with this run... time cross fingers that it sticks to the canonical track off of the OBX/VA coast over the next two days worth of runs.
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