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Paleocene

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Everything posted by Paleocene

  1. Paleocene
    Seems like that back edge is coming east pretty fast for round one here.
  2. Paleocene
    Deathband that was over me has lightened up a bit since 215pm or so; lighter flakes now. But last few frames have the hole filling in, at least over DC?
  3. Paleocene
    I've been on the southern edge of the northern band in Silver Spring for 2 hours -- started snowing moderately at 1215pm. This escalated quickly.
  4. Paleocene
    Been under moderate snow for about 45 minutes near downtown Silver Spring. A classic white rain/mulch accumulation. Not sticking to much, but looks gorgeous. Big flakes.
  5. Paleocene
    15z HRRR does a total DC split this afternoon, lol
  6. Paleocene
    Fair enough. I am generally willing to concede March 1st - 15th as winter in the DC beltway area but after the 15th... we need luck. Of course there was 2014 (St. Patrick's Day), and then in 2018, we had snow March 21 which stuck around for a day. Here's McKeldin Mall at UMD on the 22nd of March 2018, after we got about 3-4" the day before, I think. 2 years out of the last 12 == enough to not rule it out after the 15th, I guess.
  7. Paleocene
    tracking heat
  8. Paleocene
    Winter is cooked. I'm direct sowing some cold season veggies in my sunny garden beds today. Spring has won.
  9. Paleocene
    Yes, they're rising from their winter graves in my nhood here in the burbs
  10. Paleocene
    I am also ready for the torch. Once we hit March 1st, my enthusiasm for tracking is gone. This map looks great.
  11. Paleocene
  12. Paleocene
  13. Paleocene
    18z Euro AI --- has my attention. I'm sure we'll be rockin again in here by the weekend (after we all come back inside from the sunshine). does it count as snow on snow when it melts in 0.01 picoseconds due to blazing inferno sun angle?
  14. Paleocene
    After it failed to even come close on the ultra bomb cyclone, I now view the euro as equivalent to the nam. Gfs is the king
  15. Paleocene
    18z euro says nah, generally. Just no
  16. Paleocene
    lol
  17. Paleocene
    Lol. The higher it goes, the further we fall
  18. Paleocene
    See you next year
  19. Paleocene
    it's happening sorry tho @WxUSAFnone for you
  20. Paleocene
    Still some light snow from this last remnant band in Moco here near Downtown Silver Spring. A pretty wintry scene out there. Slushy and lightly covered neighborhood streets with 2-3" on them depending on how warm they got yesterday. The grass is up to 4" in spots. Main roads all totally fine. Overall, I'd say we just about met my expectations here -- saved by the norlun. Too bad we missed the coastal but hey there's always next year.
  21. Paleocene
    MCPS closed tomorrow.
  22. Paleocene
    WE'VE GOT DOUBLE NORLUNS
  23. Paleocene
    Putting this here so it doesn't get lost. From a red tagger in NE threads. Good read for those who are obsessed with the miller a/b distinction for our region.
  24. Paleocene
    Yeah for DC beltway area 3 things made me feel cautious 1) never being in jackpot zones except for those few wild GFS runs back on like weds. 2) jackpot zones shifting E/NE 3) marginal temps during day Gotta know the climo. To be clear this very much could have been a win with a better 500mb pass, even slightly better antecedent cold. But we have many ways to not win here. Still holding on to hope for getting nuked by the IVT though
  25. Paleocene
    We are cooked if we don't get good rates under norlun
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