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Paleocene

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Everything posted by Paleocene

  1. Paleocene
    Grass whitened in silver spring. Roofs pale coating. Everything else just wet
  2. Paleocene
    My rain is trying to turn white in silver spring. At 4pm as predicted
  3. Paleocene
    Interesting, lots of reports of snow in inside beltway nova but just 5-10 miles northeast in silver spring md I'm watching rain
  4. Paleocene
    Hey at least it's gonna snow here, interloper! *Soon
  5. Paleocene
    Inching closer to being inside the beltway, bring it
  6. Paleocene
    17z HRRR is consistent with showing the flippage battle happening between 3pm-5pm for the broader forum.
  7. Paleocene
    Surface temp maps were consistently 33 and above through 20-22z on basically every model for the last three days. We knew, and discussed, that it would be white rain at best, rate dependent. And that is exactly what is happening. IDK why people are surprised. It will flip. Pray for an earlier flip, and better rates after flip!
  8. Paleocene
    Putting this here for posterity; this is why we don't trust UKMET thermals lol.
  9. Paleocene
    Heavy Snain
  10. Paleocene
    newest HRRR for 7pm, norlun frederick-moco-ffx.
  11. Paleocene
    this is a big guy we got here. vis sat: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=nrnmidat-02-24-1
  12. Paleocene
    Yes, looking out my window a mile south of the beltway here in silver spring, we've got a bit more of a white rain situation. A few parachutes
  13. Paleocene
    A few beaten, mangled and depressed flakes mixing in here in silver spring. Emphasis on a few
  14. Paleocene
    Moderate rain at a toasty 37 in silver spring. Need the winds to turn and crank in the deeper cold from El Norte
  15. Paleocene
    You would too if you had a one year old daughter who will be up and ready for action at 6AM regardless of what the models say! We run a tight ship around here. OK sorry for banter hope you all get plastered with snow
  16. Paleocene
    Deathbands are coming west, Prince William is gonna get 1.0" QPF too. Godspeed. I'm off to bed believing this high note. Nearly time to nowcast anyway. Sweet dreams weenies
  17. Paleocene
    Even the "dry" 3k drops close to 3" QPF on parts of central Jersey. 12k has those 4" totals again. Jeeby weebies.
  18. Paleocene
    kuchera doesn't look as pretty as this, but where do I sign lol? still a lot to come especially for the east.
  19. Paleocene
    we get annihilated. I shouldn't have debbed earlier. all hail king NAM
  20. Paleocene
    I am posting this for posterity because it is HILARIOUS NAM has ingested i-95 emissions and they create SNOW
  21. Paleocene
    it owned thermals a month ago, and was pretty dead on with respect to when I was supposed to flip to sleet for the snowcrete dump. Levels upstairs are all great, we need the coastal to crank and rates to drop temps at the surface. I am choosing to believe the NAM that if things can get going by 1pm, I'll be seeing white rain IMBY at least
  22. Paleocene
    am I going to believe this NAM 12k panel verbatim? yes
  23. Paleocene
    @SomeguyfromTakomaPark yeah, this is what prevents me from going all in. just don't see it, we have paths to fail. but its gonna snow so im happy
  24. Paleocene
    lol i wouldnt consider myself old and it borderline gives me a seizure
  25. Paleocene
    I like your positivity and I agree, it could go boom. Just haven't seen that enough on guidance (a 25-50 mile shift west) to believe. But, I did just read Millvilles post and he actually knows what he's talking about unlike me lol. Maybe I should have more confidence
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