Jump to content

Paleocene

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,915

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Paleocene

  1. Paleocene
    @SomeguyfromTakomaPark yeah, this is what prevents me from going all in. just don't see it, we have paths to fail. but its gonna snow so im happy
  2. Paleocene
    lol i wouldnt consider myself old and it borderline gives me a seizure
  3. Paleocene
    I like your positivity and I agree, it could go boom. Just haven't seen that enough on guidance (a 25-50 mile shift west) to believe. But, I did just read Millvilles post and he actually knows what he's talking about unlike me lol. Maybe I should have more confidence
  4. Paleocene
    Imo, speaking as your geographic neighbor, no. Basically none of the guidance has DC consistently booming or jackpotting in any way. 2-4" bar for success, 6"+ would be great. 8" or more? I'd be shocked
  5. Paleocene
    I'm gonna get 4" and Annapolis 8" just 30 miles east, book it
  6. Paleocene
    Good thing that model sucks
  7. Paleocene
    Yes, this is one of those times, at least during the day and early evening tomorrow. When those of us who live on the "hills" just above the fall line at 300ft or above can do slightly better than those nearby at lower elevation. You will probably beat me with your extra 100 feet lol. The march 2013 fail storm was like this.
  8. Paleocene
    paging @Eskimo Joe. that looks, um, bad. for the regional power grid.
  9. Paleocene
    on that map it looks like it. the anacostia river valley into NE DC, and prince george's, is also a low point. successful banding + elevation. @bncho https://en-us.topographic-map.com/map-8t6/United-States/?center=38.94056%2C-77.01166&zoom=11
  10. Paleocene
    Rack em and stack em, tuck and capture the low! wish this was happening a touch differently so we could all get the jack instead of NJ, but whatever. It looks cool. Sorry for the quality, hard to fit this much action under the size limit. 12z euro 500mb, 700mb, 850mb and MSLP/10m wind
  11. Paleocene
    your gif speed there is a little frenetic, but it's fun to watch how as the euro figures out that this thing is tucking, the pressure bombs out. 990mb forecast to 977mb forecast for 04z monday... in just 24 hours of runs
  12. Paleocene
    AC is an interesting urban wasteland. Doesn't feel like a real city outside the casinos. It will be deserted zombie apocalypse when you're there.
  13. Paleocene
    Those of you who like gambling need to get in on predictive markets. I saw that writing on the wall yesterday morning that the storm was going to be a nj-boston special. I put down $10, that Boston would see more than 20 in this month, and now I can cash out for $25 before the storm even happens lol. Free money if you obsessively track models... And can tolerate a little bit of risk
  14. Paleocene
    Go to Cape May! Pretty town, not a city, on a peninsula so you'll get destroyed by wind lol. Easy access to garden state parkway which should be priority to clear My bar for my backyard is 4" otg.. including roads... Monday am. We'll see. Not the 36" I was promised LOL
  15. Paleocene
    3k. still snowing after hour 60, so not done with totals here.
  16. Paleocene
    Hmm? Maybe not everywhere on the map (eg where you live), but on many places it does?? 9.9 --> 7.5 for MBY == -25%. Fredericksburg 8.9 --> 5.8 == -33%
  17. Paleocene
    still a bit more to come for delmarva. snow depth cuts totals in half kuch maybe drops by 25-33%
  18. Paleocene
    Indeed. Which is why in my hot UHI backyard im gonna be sweating thermals. Maybe the mesos will show better temps and I can stop worrying
  19. Paleocene
    I'm on that 33 lol. And that's 21z. Worse earlier in day
  20. Paleocene
    Some spots on the Jersey Shore got nearly 3" on that run. But yeah, no more 4" lollies
  21. Paleocene
    Worth noting that GFS still has us sweating thermals at the surface. upstairs looks good at all levels. We're gonna be praying for good rates in the cities to overcome the UHI death zones!
  22. Paleocene
    still a bit more to come for east of the bay after this panel.
  23. Paleocene
    Agreed and they have time to hoist watches if things trend colder.
  24. Paleocene
    Someone probably posted this a bit ago, but the GEFS really hasnt backed off the tucked solutions at all. Pretty amazing. Orientation / trajectory / position changed a bit, but I see no caving to the easterly/OTS low solutions that euro suite was spitting out. Caving to the GFS, who'd have thunk it.
  25. Paleocene
    I don't remember 2014, but the 2011 was the 'commuteaggedon' puke/paste job which left people stranded on i-66 and elsewhere for many hours.
×
×
  • Create New...