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Paleocene

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Everything posted by Paleocene

  1. After it failed to even come close on the ultra bomb cyclone, I now view the euro as equivalent to the nam. Gfs is the king
  2. Lol. The higher it goes, the further we fall
  3. it's happening sorry tho @WxUSAFnone for you
  4. Still some light snow from this last remnant band in Moco here near Downtown Silver Spring. A pretty wintry scene out there. Slushy and lightly covered neighborhood streets with 2-3" on them depending on how warm they got yesterday. The grass is up to 4" in spots. Main roads all totally fine. Overall, I'd say we just about met my expectations here -- saved by the norlun. Too bad we missed the coastal but hey there's always next year.
  5. Putting this here so it doesn't get lost. From a red tagger in NE threads. Good read for those who are obsessed with the miller a/b distinction for our region.
  6. Yeah for DC beltway area 3 things made me feel cautious 1) never being in jackpot zones except for those few wild GFS runs back on like weds. 2) jackpot zones shifting E/NE 3) marginal temps during day Gotta know the climo. To be clear this very much could have been a win with a better 500mb pass, even slightly better antecedent cold. But we have many ways to not win here. Still holding on to hope for getting nuked by the IVT though
  7. We are cooked if we don't get good rates under norlun
  8. Grass whitened in silver spring. Roofs pale coating. Everything else just wet
  9. My rain is trying to turn white in silver spring. At 4pm as predicted
  10. Interesting, lots of reports of snow in inside beltway nova but just 5-10 miles northeast in silver spring md I'm watching rain
  11. Inching closer to being inside the beltway, bring it
  12. 17z HRRR is consistent with showing the flippage battle happening between 3pm-5pm for the broader forum.
  13. Surface temp maps were consistently 33 and above through 20-22z on basically every model for the last three days. We knew, and discussed, that it would be white rain at best, rate dependent. And that is exactly what is happening. IDK why people are surprised. It will flip. Pray for an earlier flip, and better rates after flip!
  14. Putting this here for posterity; this is why we don't trust UKMET thermals lol.
  15. this is a big guy we got here. vis sat: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=nrnmidat-02-24-1
  16. Yes, looking out my window a mile south of the beltway here in silver spring, we've got a bit more of a white rain situation. A few parachutes
  17. A few beaten, mangled and depressed flakes mixing in here in silver spring. Emphasis on a few
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