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AFranklin88

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Everything posted by AFranklin88

  1. AFranklin88
    6z euro holds the trend as well - looks good thru 144
  2. AFranklin88
    What does the NBM take into account - all of the ensembles?
  3. AFranklin88
    That’s a significant improvement on the NAM and 3k
  4. AFranklin88
    UKIE with another good track - ups totals for most in east. Feels like everything meeting in that 4-8 range for Central Valley
  5. AFranklin88
    They may be right and the NAM scores a huge coup, but it just trended towards all other modeling in 6z suite. While others (gfs for one) are doubling down and rap/hrrr seem to make a big move onboard. baffling move by MRX in that AFD
  6. AFranklin88
    Feels like modeled qpf and snowfall in AR trended down earlier today and now significantly up in 0z suite. May not mean anything but an observation
  7. AFranklin88
    GEFS 6z looks good for valley, appears be nice track for low and clustered pretty tight
  8. AFranklin88
    will be interesting to see if decent rates stay in valley until after peak heating. could see accumulations really go up late afternoon if so. radar looks healthy .
  9. AFranklin88
    it has that look and feel this morning. Central Valley - I think we’re in for a big one .
  10. AFranklin88
    Main events gets started soon… .
  11. AFranklin88
    I don’t think that RAP view is the full storm total unless I’m missing something .
  12. AFranklin88
    NBM holding steady and qpf increasing on high res mods would be great trends .
  13. AFranklin88
    Interesting how different that is than the graphics from MRX this morning .
  14. AFranklin88
    Winter storm watch just posted for plateau and Central Valley north. Didn’t expect it this early honestly and a good sign even with odd runs of the NAM. have to think GFS/Euro/NBM weighing heavily.
  15. AFranklin88
    Admittedly, not an expert but I thought the 6z RGEM and 12k/3k NAM looked better for the central valley on tropical tidbits. Nowcast time anyways probably but just a question for those who know better .
  16. AFranklin88
    Just started as what sounds like heavy sleet/rain mix here in west knox co. Right as radar returns were overhead .
  17. AFranklin88
    Is it possible for the NW flow to catch the trailing edge of precip from low to enhance snow showers for time period? Doesn’t look like it’s far off. Sorry if dumb question - enjoy the knowledge you all share .
  18. AFranklin88
    Sleeting in west Knox - concord area. Just drove back from Chatt and watched precip rates increase up 75 and temps gradually fall from 40 to 35 by time we got home .
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