JoMo
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Everything posted by JoMo
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Lucy getting the football ready again......
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18z GFS Friday system gets screwed up by a lead wave on Thurs.
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See the 00z GEM for the north trend, lol.. Crazy differences after that between the GEM/GFS.
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Just gonna be shoveling my 20" of digital snow or my 30" of Kuchera digital snow over the next 10 days... until the next run.
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Tuesday system going farther north on the 18z GFS. Friday system still looks good, but we aren't 24 hours away from it yet, so it'll probably end up in Iowa or something by the time we get to Fri.
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12z Euro is coming in different with the Friday system due to upstream developments. Not nearly as big of a deal this run due to separation of systems and not really any development of the southern system. Tues system was a bit farther north.
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I remember those days. The sleepless nights because the next model run is just a few hours away. The excitement and anticipation and the buildup of the run, and then the agony of defeat when the model showed the storm going to the north, but wait....... the next model run is just a few hours away, and it'll be different this time..........
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I'm kind of just happy there are at least threats. I don't get my hopes up until 24 hours before though, lol
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Such a beast of a storm on the 00z Euro for the Friday storm. That one def needs watched with the upstream energy now trying to dive more into it.
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Looks like a big spread between the GEM and GFS towards the Friday system and after.
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That Friday system still looks like a beast.
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00z NAM with the more northern turn this run. Will other models follow? Tune in next run....
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Nah, they just don't know where the track/precip will be. They did say this in the AFD today:
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I like the difference between the 00z Euro and 12z Euro for 18z Sun the 14th though. 00z run had a balmy 46 degrees in Tulsa... 12z run has it at 11 degrees.
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The Friday system is beastly on the 12z Euro and farther south.
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Tues system is just a smidge slow at tilting at the right time. The models have it deeping though as it passes. Looks like the GEM is farthest south .
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In addition to the Tues system, it looks like we will probably also have a Friday system. From there the models diverge a bit.
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Lots of high latitude blocking and -EPO in the latter stages of the 00z GFS.... brrrrr cold
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It's fun watching the Tues storm but man it's going to be a nail biter.
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Which storm? Been a long time since we've said that.
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Yeah, but I worry about how fast the system falls apart with those marginal temps. Someone might get a good burst of snow but the farther east you go, the less of a chance that is.
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BRB shoveling my 32" of digital snow through Jan 15th.
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Looks like some snow or snow to rain for some folks on Friday morning with a weakening system and a bigger system on Monday-Tues (8th and 9th) which is still uncertain. And probably more systems after that to watch.
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Yeah, Jan looks really active. Just need spacing for moisture return and the storms to be a bit farther south.
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Looks like some snow showers will be possible on Christmas for some areas, probably KS most likely under the upper low. And then things might get more interesting as we head into the first week or two of Jan as it looks like the ridging over Canada starts re-developing WNW towards Alaska which should allow more cold air to get involved with an active storm track across the southern US.
