snowmagnet

I don’t think so at short-range.

Yesterday we were talking about knowing accumulation until evening and less than 10 to one ratios. It sounds like that has changed significantly. Are we looking at low ratios with the initial storm and higher ratios with the coastal? I might’ve missed it, but are there any analogs?

I generally can only read pretty colorful maps, but isn't this the "bowling ball"? Is that the Inverted Trough?

I was trying to figure out when we started discussing this, but here is a post from more than a week ago. On the GFS..

This feels a bit like the Ji storm of 2022. If I remember correctly, it had been on and off radar, so most had given up. Then 2 or 3 days before, everything started to change. If I remember correctly, the GFS led the way and the Euro caved to it. I had been away for my anniversary and not paying attention until I saw Jay's post.

Since I have very little time to spare these days, I went straight to the end of the thread this morning and it sounded like everything was dead and gone for next week. So now I just happened to check and we have a thread and I missed quite a few pages along the way I guess it was a busy day.

I think I’m in the wrong forum. I take a few days off and everyone is talking radiation, mountain peaks, and math. I just need some pretty pink (or green) snow maps. I have a ton of meetings the week of the 24th, so maybe it will happen. I also keep wondering about the promised warm-up. I mean, it’s not 21 degrees anymore, but the torch hasn’t happened yet. It’s been a cold winter.

some of our best storms have been a couple of days after a significant warm-up.

If we get that little clipper, it is overnight Tuesday to Wednesday, right?

I don't know about other counties, but Fairfax is still a mess from the "snowcrete". We have one lane roads in neighborhoods everywhere, and may of the buses are still sitting in snowy parking lots. I honestly can't imagine how schools will go back tomorrow. Another 1-2" on freezing roads will close us on Wednesday. What are other counties like?

We had around 10 inches last year in the first week of January. And a really nice storm in 2022. I think that one was Jan. 3rd.

That happened to my friend in NC. She still has water dripping and sometimes pouring because of an ice dam. They can’t find the source of it. No midweek snow like the GFS?

You are in Fairfax, right?

My friend in Raleigh is in a snow hole.

HRRR also showed snow over my house today.

These are really funny

What did Boxing Day do? It went south in the last 24 hours. It was supposed to be our storm. Last week it looked like Richmond was bullseye for 2 feet, and it went west, hitting PA, Boston, and NY in the last 24-48 hours. What about PD2? I don't know the details as I was pregnant and sick at the time, but I know we were not supposed to get nearly that much snow. It was either Feb 2013 or 2014 when the Polar Vortex caused some very confused models and we got a lot of cold and surprising high snow totals out of it. This is clearly not a 2016 storm, but coastal storms can be very tricky depending on where that Low decides to stall. I could be 100% wrong, which would make my Raleigh and Southern VA friends very happy, but I think the models will be struggling with this until game time. Just my amateur "cup is half-full" two cents.

I was a kid in Charles County during that one. I'm sure I've got pictures of it somewhere in my parents' photos.I think we had around 2', but I was only 7 so I can't verify that.

I mean, we are tracking a February storm…

What was it we said last week? Right where we want it 4 days out. It will trend north.

Waiting for the Euro

Imagine the mood in here if we were in the Southeast forum.

I was thinking the same...

Except when it doesn’t.

Agreed! That is pretty positive at this point.