Newman
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Everything posted by Newman
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Saw that too, sneaky system. Any snow won't have a hard time accumulating on the snow we already have down. Also, models picking up on a small clipper like piece of energy trying to swing through Monday night
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The Atlantic block and 50/50 goes away which is a shame because, if we had it to slow the flow, this might be a great storm threat. Verbatim, the west coast ridge is in a perfect Boise-centered location until it rolls over on us and pushes the trough out. It's still close though. Will be interesting to watch. In the meantime, I need some rest from tracking this past storm.
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March 2017 storm? The great sleet storm in that one, 14" total even though was advertised 2 feet in the medium range (just like this storm). I'd say this one was fairly close in many regards. It acted more like a SWFE. On another note, anyone see those 40"+ reports coming from NY? Insanity! Those Kuchera maps verified after all, which doesn't surprise me. Deep cold air with such a moist system will create insane ratios and totals.
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You're right! I measured too early haha. Went out this morning and another inch fell. 10.5" storm total. Solid storm. Getting into work this morning was a nightmare.
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Just went out to measure this final backside sleet and snow, measured 3" making a storm total of 9.5"
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Honestly precip has all but shut down here. Dry slot. Now we wait I guess? Might have to go to sleep early so I can wake up for the late night/early morning backside snows.
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Now turned to all sleet. Just went out and cleared the measuring board for this sleet/dry slot. 6.5" as I had mentioned previously. Snow depth in the yard, however, is near 8 or 9" with the snow from Monday still on the ground.
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6.5" sleet now mixing in. 22/14
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I just picked up 3" in an hour!!! Up to 6" here
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Puking snow under these heavier returns
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Latest HRRR actually gives us 3 or 4" on the backside of this once the dry slot passes
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I think I'm gonna underperform here. Maybe 6-8". But definitely not flurries right now. Flakes aren't massive, but still coming down heavy.
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Believe me, the problem for you and I won't be sleet. It's gonna be precip shutting off with that dry slot in VA racing NE already. Still heavy snow here, heavier radar returns making their way north into Berks.
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50 DBZ radar returns heading into Philly with the sleet line still to the south.
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Heavy snow. Dumping. Gotta get in as much as I can up here before any mixing/dry slot.
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Roads are horrible in Exeter Township up here in Berks. That's where I work and took an hour to drive home to Fleetwood. Coming down very very nicely at home.
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Whoa didn't even see the mention of thundersnow until you pointed it out! I like 10-14". Closer to 8" if more sleet than expected. Closer to 16" if it ends up staying mostly snow. We shall see. I'm at work now, not gonna be fun driving home at 6pm.
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25/15 with the smell of pre-mature radar hallucinations in the air
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I've kinda just accepted the fact this won't be as high end as some of those ridiculous models days ago. 10-14" for up here is the call. I'm really hoping to get double digits at least.
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The RGEM at hr 30 shows heavy sleet for Lanco with this sounding. Razor thin from being all snow
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3k NAM is dreadfully close for Berks and the LV now. Shifted a tad south and a bit east. Keeps the pivot point right around Harrisburg. So Lebanon, Dauphin, Schuylkill counties rake in 2 feet while Berks and Lehigh are fighting the sleet and dry slot. Oh how its going to be so close.
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3k NAM crushes Harrisburg. Huge thump in the WAA, fights off any dry slot and sleet being just north enough, and practically is the pivot point when the storm begins to move east.
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I know it's really late in the game for ensembles, but the 18z GEFS are much better than 12z
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18z GFS agrees with the NAMs, stops the NW trend. Basically the same as 12z, perhaps a tad better in some areas, a tad worse in others.
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I have work Thursday morning, but I guess I'll be pulling an all-nighter anyway to get the most accurate measurements
