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Newman

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Newman

  1. Newman
    Lol I mean the low level jet is just aimed directly over SE PA. This is gonna be huge
  2. Newman
  3. Newman
    Firehose
  4. Newman
    NAM CAME WEST
  5. Newman
    HRRR sucks and really isn't matching well with current obs, radar, etc. It's just another piece of guidance.
  6. Newman
  7. Newman
    Still lightly snowing here for some
  8. Newman
    4" here. Still mod snow.
  9. Newman
    It's gonna be tough. We might see like a 3-4" gradient west to east across Berks county. I think 12-18 is a very solid bet right now. Up towards Lehigh/Allentown/Easton it's more like 16-22+"
  10. Newman
    Right around 3" here too
  11. Newman
  12. Newman
    2" in Fleetwood
  13. Newman
  14. Newman
    Lol true, they both suck how about that
  15. Newman
    Para-GFS shifted a bit west too
  16. Newman
    Imagine 30 hours out from right now one model gives Philly 3.5", and another gives Philly 17.5".... well that's the difference between the American guidance NAM and GFS. Thirty. Hours. Out.
  17. Newman
    LOL GFS parks it into Southern Jersey. I mean, I won't complain, but it's now on the far western side of all guidance. And I mean FAR western side.
  18. Newman
    Mount Holly upped Berks from 10-15" to 12-16" on the latest WSW. Lehigh and Poconos area 16-24". Updated map:
  19. Newman
  20. Newman
    Yes, but the key word is EAST. Everything is one way or another shifting east. You are better in some models, like the RGEM, for simply being more east. However, other models like the NAM you are unfortunately a tad too south despite being east. One way or another, I think most here see 6".
  21. Newman
  22. Newman
    Again, I'm not throwing in the towel yet. Maybe we can stop the trend east? But it's just so predictable how Miller B's end up.
  23. Newman
    This morning had promise, but it's obvious every model is ticking less and less sharp/neutral with the trough. PVA orientation is also not as favorable. We're not getting the energy to back into the coast as much. These differences are not much, we're talking 10s of miles. But each time you tick this a couple more miles east, eventually you're sitting under heavy subsidence while NYC and Monmouth county (surprise surprise) rake it in.
  24. Newman
    And the NE shift continues
  25. Newman
    Snow has stopped, 1 inch on the board
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