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Newman

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Newman

  1. On the exact same latitude as you, just as heavy radar returns, and heavy heavy sleet. Not panicking yet, I'll do that if it's still sleeting by 12pm...
  2. Yellows and oranges moving into the area, still entirely sleet. Unreal. Need the mix line to drop south on CC
  3. March 2017, the great sleet bubble storm. I know different setup from this (that was a SWFE), but once the warm nose moved in, it didn't matter how heavy the returns got it just couldn't turn back. Anyway, nothing here as of now. Heaviest returns are basically a couple miles to my east still.
  4. I knew this would be the problem to start, these warm bubbles like to stick around once they come in.
  5. I think we're gonna be good. I'm still thinking storm totals around 14-18" out here. That includes all the way through Tuesday. Still nothing here, heavier precip beginning to back in from the SE
  6. Here's a good radar for anyone looking https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Pennsylvania-comp_radar-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  7. That's good to hear, I'm hoping it's the same case once it gets back this way
  8. If you check mesoanalysis, and all of the models, it's right where it's been modeled. But the low should swing back to the west and tuck
  9. Major cave on the latest HRRR. I just hope this pesky warm bubble can subside once we get into heavier rates
  10. 6" storm total thus far, sleeting as of now. My concerns are 1.) Does the CCB get out this far west? 2.) How quickly can we crash the warm layer currently in place? Regardless, it's gonna be interesting here in a bit...
  11. The difference between the GFS/Euro and the NAM/RGEM could not be any more insane now 6-12 hours out from this
  12. Okay, before I go to sleep, check out the GFS. CCB reforms on Tuesday. Legit snows now being modeled throughout Tuesday, widespread an extra 4-8" LOL
  13. RGEM still likes Philly/Immediate SE PA as the jackpot.
  14. Use total QPF, convert using your own ratios. In that CCB tomorrow afternoon/evening, ratios will be higher than 10:1 with incredible forcing if this look holds
  15. That energy diving in across the Great Lakes? It helps to re-energize the trough and upper low, bringing snow straight through Tuesday and into the night...
  16. 4.7". *Only* picked up 0.7" in the past hour compared to the previous 2 hours where we were pounding out 1"/hr rates
  17. It's gonna snow straight through Tuesday
  18. Through hour 30, still more to go for some. Do the math, do what ever ratio you want (12:1-15:1 in the CCB?).
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