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Newman

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Newman

  1. There's actually an impressive blowup of convection right over the center currently. We'll see if it's just a quick pulse or if it maintains
  2. Both the NAM and HRRR have this band of rain setting up and starting around 8pm and lasting through most of the overnight.
  3. Officially Hurricane Henri 11:00 AM EDT Sat Aug 21Location: 34.4°N 72.5°WMoving: NNE at 14 mphMin pressure: 991 mbMax sustained: 75 mph
  4. My goodness 12k NAM PARKS that PRE band right over Philly. Reminds me very much of Hurricane Joaquin, which had that inverted trough/PRE rainfall all across South Carolina without ever landfalling. This will just be a more microscale similarity
  5. What we need to watch is this band of PRE rainfall that is targeting SE PA across some of the short term guidance. Some of the models are just picking up on it now, we'll have to see how it continues to trend
  6. Interesting considering a Hurricane Hunter just posted this on Twitter LOL
  7. Almost 24 hours away and we have models who now tuck it into NYC to ones that barely clip Cape Cod. I still think some 1-2" rainfall gets into SE PA. The 6z Euro still shows that among many of the other short term guidance
  8. The HRRR is something else, stalls it right over EPA. 8-12" amounts showing up in Montgomery and Bucks Counties.
  9. GFS ticked east again, but still it gets far enough inland to drop 1-2" of rain across parts of the region
  10. GFS lots of rain across EPA, continues to trend west. Nothing crazy like previous RGEM or Ukie runs, but 1"+ of precip regardless
  11. Henri doesn't look so good on vis right now. LL swirl still well north and displaced of the deep convection. Most models don't have intensification until it reaches OBX latitude though.
  12. Huge rains for inland areas on the Euro. I'm not familiar with NY climo per-say, but I'd imagine you'd get some nice orographic enhancement on the east side of the Catskills with this trajectory?
  13. Timing of this has definitely sped up. We're looking at a landfall early Sunday now, rainfall could last through Monday (if these west trends continue)
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