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Newman

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Everything posted by Newman

  1. Newman
    I don't see how there won't be a flash freeze Friday evening/night with the passage of that strong arctic front. As long as winds don't blow too hard (which they might) and things don't dry out too much, the puddles and rain will freeze the roads.
  2. Newman
  3. Newman
  4. Newman
    Christmas doesn't even look all that brutally cold anymore
  5. Newman
    Now this would be one hell of a front on the CMC. Even though it's a rain storm, the puddles would freeze up in an instant lol. Of course flash freezes rarely work out, but it's fun to look at
  6. Newman
    Although rain, this would be one hell of a front on the Canadian. 55 to 16 in 6 hours here LOL
  7. Newman
    CMC is unfortunately another huge cutter. But I agree, I did get Jan 2000 vibes with it too. Verbatim, it's pretty strung out and disorganized which actually helps out because heights don't rise too much. It also doesn't close off until at or north of our latitude on the GFS. I said yesterday I was chasing the big dog, but I might have to walk back that statement. It doesn't look nearly as ideal as it once did, so right now I'm chasing a white christmas
  8. Newman
    GFS coming in with lots of changes. I won't speak to what the outcome is gonna be, but i think it'll be more positive for the coast
  9. Newman
    This is a good start to the 0z suite. Grasping here, but the ICON is drastically improved
  10. Newman
    Yeah early on it looked like it held serve, but the ridge out west shifted further west so it's amping up too soon.
  11. Newman
    GFS not blinking, gonna be a hit or at least off the coast this run again
  12. Newman
    FWIW, the NAM long range at hour 84 looks more like the GFS with the ejection of the PV into SE Canada
  13. Newman
    It is, I measured it on google maps and it's a ~1,050ish mile difference in the low pressure center
  14. Newman
    Just incredible changes at the surface downstream due to the changes we saw with the handling of the PV energy at day 3-4
  15. Newman
    Look at this 24 hour change, incredible
  16. Newman
  17. Newman
    Euro looks just like the GEM at hour 72, nothing like the GFS with it's handling of the PV lobe that acts as our confluence.
  18. Newman
    You are right, I went back and checked the 6z and there were more cutters than anything else. Good news there at least
  19. Newman
    There are a couple individual members that cut it to Buffalo, but the mean and lean is certainly SE and off the coast. There's a couple cutters, bombs, and complete whiffs
  20. Newman
    I know we're over a week out still, but I'm gonna need a good Euro run here in an hour to give me a little more hope. The GFS is wonderful, but it's on it's own. I'm really not looking forward to a model war for the next week if that's the case
  21. Newman
    The differences between the CMC and GFS are huge even 5 days out. There is no confluence whatsoever on the CMC
  22. Newman
  23. Newman
    -2 in Altoona and a balmy 58 in Philadelphia
  24. Newman
    Raleigh NC the place to be on that GFS run, back to back jackpots less than 3 days apart
  25. Newman
    Is it wave spacing, the fast flow, unlikely "perfect" phase, geographic location, or something else that would make you say the ceiling is a SECS?
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