Scarlet Pimpernel

When it became apparent that there was something very possible around that time in Jan. 2016, I vaguely recall some discussion that for whatever reason those middle 2 weeks (or there about) of January had a relative lack of good snow events.

Well, that may be true about the last week or so of December, climatologically. But then again, people said kinda the same thing about the 3rd week of January, that we never get any good snows around that time. Then there was some kind of event...oh...sometime about Jan. 22-23, 2016 I seem to recall?? I'm just joking with you, of course, for fun! Not saying a Jan. 2016 redux should be expected or will occur (but we'd take that!), but maybe we can crack through the dearth of WSW snows the last week of December!

Very true, and thanks for pointing this out. It's definitely one of the better setups we've had in some time it seems (though I won't say "since '96" or any other particular year, hahaha!). It will be complicated, the interaction of the various waves during that period, and not necessarily "ideal" (whatever that might be). So yeah, hopefully we'll come out of that time frame with at least one decent snow and avoid the incredible bad luck of getting shut out!

FYP! (for the record, I just cannot bring myself to eat the stuff!)

Well, I don't think anyone here is seriously comparing stuff to '96...mostly commenting on DT's "best pattern since '96" remark, and mostly mocking it, from what I've read in here. At any rate...yes...cannot argue with how active it looks post-Christmas, that's for sure! And the pattern up-top might be at least somewhat conducive for something good in that time frame (even if the Pac is "meh"). Let's hope so!

Shouldn't it be "Yo!!"??

Cool! Our time there at GT may have even overlapped it appears (completed my Ph.D. in 1999, was in the area from 1994-2001). I think I know that bar/restaurant you're referring to right on Piedmont Park, but offhand cannot recall the name. Probably changed hands since then anyhow. I used to live close to that shopping plaza near the corner of Monroe and 8th St., some interesting places there at the time. Also liked the Virginia Highlands area. I haven't been back in many years (too long, I should visit again!), but still have a couple of friends I'm in touch with regularly. We used to get some damn fine martinis over at the Highland Tap (in the VA Highlands area)!

Great screen-capture of that! I saved a bunch of stuff from all those storms that winter, mostly model data. Cute dog, by the way! Hard to tell if he's playing, or lying there comfortably thinking "now *this* makes a nice bed!!" BTW, was curious and meaning to ask when you were at GA Tech (going by your name here!)? I went to grad school there, long ago last century in the late '90s, and continued living in the Atlanta area afterward until 2001 when I moved up this way. Really liked Atlanta for the most part, to be honest! I've told people that it's not exactly what one would call a "tourist town", but if you live there, you know the places to go! Ran the Peachtree a few times, too (could never do that again now, haha!)...nice to have it finish practically right in my back yard when I was living near Piedmont Park! Alas, all my fine Peachtree T-shirts are now gone, having worn out some time ago! Might still have one of those long-sleeve ones from the GT 5K run around campus that they had every November.

Happy Anniversary to you, @mappy!!

It's like a tradition around here!!

Shhhhh! Don't tell the ENSO that, might jinx it!!

In general, I think this is the case. At risk of over-analyzing something that's still a week out (but I'll do so anyhow, haha!)...note that at 06Z today there was more energy hanging back, which resulted in the surface reflection still coming up toward us just after the strong cold front passed. It's not quite "as good" at 12Z as the low zips on to the north, but there's apparently a ton of lift along the front and (if you take verbatim), still gives a decent burst of snow. Reminiscent of Feb. 14, 2015 as others have said, though perhaps on a more dramatic scale if this pans out as shown. Regardless, that's one hella cold front breezing through!

FYP!! But seriously, that would be quite nice if it happens! At this point, I'll be glad to even have a nice, crisp Christmas rather than being in the 50s or raining or whatever, for a change. At least a little fresh wintry feel even if there's not much snow.

Wow, that's a shite-ton of snow. Gorgeous! I heard the reports from Binghamton, NY...just unreal. What we wouldn't give for that here... I admit my initial thought upon seeing this photo was someone inside the house saying, "OK, very funny, who the hell dumped all this popcorn on my doorstep!!"

I remember that, too. Was the March 2015 event (6.5" where I'm at, general 4-8" area-wide) also a case of a low forming along a cold front? Front went through in the early morning I recall, and a decent wave moved up shortly after during the day. Or that's how I recall how that evolved. I sort of remember @Deck Pic telling people beforehand to not freak out when they woke up in the morning and it's not snowing yet, because there was going to be a "lull" between the front going through and the main show. And like clockwork of course, people freaked out early that morning when nothing was happening. And sure enough, it began snowing like crazy starting around 9AM.

The JMA 850mb 0C line is *just* a bit outside!

We did have that, for The Storm Which Shall Not Be Named (*ahem* Dec. 2010 *ahem*). Ducking for cover! Ooops... 'd by @mappy, sorry about that!!

Very true! Of course, I could piss ice cubes onto sun-scorched blacktop pavement in mid-July and surpass last winter's snow total!! (Not that I've tried that, LOL!!) And agree, this event is one of the few bright spots of 2020. Nice to have something wintry in December!

Amen!! I've got the entire suite of his symphonies, Cleveland Orchestra recordings with George Szell as conductor. Also another copy of the 9th (my favorite), Cleveland Orchestra with Christoph von Dohnanyi. I was fortunate enough to hear the 9th live two times while in Atlanta in the late '90s, with the Atlanta Symphony. Once was with a guest conductor (can't recall who at the moment), and the other time was with Yoel Levi (their regular conductor/musical director at the time). That included the Atlanta Symphony Chorus, still heavily influenced by the great Robert Shaw.

Well...to paraphrase the title of a 1975 movie starring Michael Caine and Sean Connery, maybe that should be "The NAM Who Would Be King"!! (Actually "The Man Who Would Be King", a very fine movie by the way!!)

On a lighter note, all this talk of being "obtuse" makes me think of one of my all-time favorite movies, "Shawshank Redemption"...

No apologies needed...I don't think the particular thread you put that in matters all that much. I knew what you were talking about. What you mentioned could apply to damn near any event around here to be honest, in terms of model hugging, tossing, etc. I'll admit myself to being weenie-ish when it comes to snow (we all are to an extent, aren't we?), but I also have to respect the science and reality of what's being shown, even if it's not favorable.

If you're referring to @ers-wxman1's comment above, he may have intended that for the other thread about this upcoming event. I don't think he's being "obtuse". I'd rather have far fewer @Ji-type comments with sarcastic (and whining) posts about how a 240 hour forecast took away his 15" snow or how getting a foot is somehow a fail...and far more @ers-wxman1-type posts that are loaded with useful and informed content, even if a bit jaded at some people's attitudes and occasionally harsh on the reality of marginal setups!

@Jebman, is that you??

Well, instead of an underline for the "u", you could go for the German umlaut: "Have to set the fücking standard..." Has a nice ring to it when you pronounce the umlaut-u!!