Scarlet Pimpernel

Looks like that shortwave that approaches the upper midwest kind of shunts it more to the east, rather than doing what the storm last weekend did (i.e., go due N or NW inland). And, there is some suppressive flow to the northeast.

All the weenies down in Weenieville will all cry boo-hoo!

A Jebslide!!!

I'm pretty sure @WxWatcher007 is doing quite well in retirement, still living off the interest he made at the old Panic Room casinos and bars! I hear Ji always tipped well, too.

I believe so! And here's the one for the NAM...

Yeah I have to wonder how anything gets 3" by 12Z tomorrow morning, but whatever. I don't know how many of these sites' algorithms use the information contained in the available GFS files, maybe some of them ignore the liquid equivalent? Though can't see why they would do that.

Never saw the musical version, but did see the movie with Mel Brooks and Gene Wilder...hilarious! Maybe we should start abbreviating "southern stream" as "S/S" or "s/s" (and for northern, use "N/S" or "n/s").

"Let's add some happy little 0.25"+ green blobs over here, now!"

Maybe it's wrong, but hell, I'd take it if it were correct!!

I actually thought that was one of those Dr. Ruth Westheimer quotes...but maybe she was using what Bette White said. Anyhow, it is kinda funny!

Potentially stupid question here...would we almost not do half-badly if that northern stream shortwave just ended up being a fair bit stronger over time, and screw the southern vort? Like if it digs a lot more somehow, some way.

Sorry was making fun of various over-used words/phrases in here!! But seriously...wow, the Euro and its ensembles are sticking with the previous solution. I hope it's on to something there.

Did it tick in the right direction? Is it too amped? Or did it cave to the GFS?

Ticked

Yeah there were two in January 2014 that I have documented...Jan. 2-3 and Jan. 21. I think that's the year when we had something in the short range and everyone would pile into that thread as models came in for the first ~84h. Then moved into the medium-range thread that had the next threat! It was wild. Like changing classes in college!!

Pretty risque for the '70s and '80s!

Also, adding to that: "ticked" a particular direction. Such-and-such model "caved"...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8yjGPgs0_S0

Bob...do you consider that Feb. 14, 2015 snow squall one of the better "small events" we've had in this area? I believe you got about the same amount as I did here a bit farther down here in MoCo, ~2.0" wind-whipped snow! I know that it was more area specific, some people didn't get much out of it. But wow, that Arctic front band ushered in some bitter cold air right after, and of course that was the start of the next several weeks of great winter weather!

A couple of more from yesterday...

Love the shadows of the tree branches on the snow!!!

Complex weenies...oh, my!! Anyhow, I agree with you on your overall interpretation. Each "good" season had something about it, and it's not always easy to say which one is best out of that. 2009-10 is special for obvious reasons, and breaking seasonal snowfall records at the 3 area airports. The 12 day period from Jan. 30-Feb. 10 was the most remarkable stretch of winter I've seen in terms of snow, and I say that as someone who grew up in northeast OH. 2014 is known for its wall-to-wall events, none of them true blockbusters but a ton of moderate ones. 2015...nothing, then suddenly deep winter for like 5 weeks and good snow to go along with it. 2002-03...nice event in December, a cold January with a nice event (clipper, I think?), then of course PD-II in February! And of course 2016...the January blizzard...some say that year was "meh" and maybe overall it kind of was, but hell you can't look past the one HUGE event all the same!

Haha, like the mini-clipper a couple of days before the Jan. 2016 blizzard!

LOL! But seriously, I do wonder if there is some link between the two...such as if the Thursday thing doesn't really happen it would be better for the shortwave on Saturday.