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Scarlet Pimpernel

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Everything posted by Scarlet Pimpernel

  1. Scarlet Pimpernel
  2. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Yup. If we can keep some highs pressing down with us on the cold side of the boundary, we can actually do quite well in that situation. Wasn't the PD-II storm essentially a massive overrunning event, with a huge cold high anchored in? It wasn't a big wound up storm.
  3. Scarlet Pimpernel
    I think PSU described it best about last winter. He mentioned something that it was very unusual that his area and around there did quite well but the metro areas were so far, far worse off. In a more normal year, even with some of the marginal setups, the cities would not have done so poorly for the season (single digit amount) when he got the amount he did, from what he said. I know there are many factors, climate and also the air mass was just plain sucky for so long after all the Pac puke in December and part of January. The biggest event I got last year where I'm at was 5" from that prolonged Jan. 31-Feb. 2 event. There was the event in February that looked like it was going to be decent, or at least an interesting sleet bomb. Ended up a few hours of sleet here that covered the ground (less than an inch) and it was over before you could blink. I ended up with a single digit total despite doing a little better than DCA, most of that from the Jan/Feb event I just mentioned.
  4. Scarlet Pimpernel
    What, you don't think Belushi pulled it off??
  5. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Add another Beethoven fan here!
  6. Scarlet Pimpernel
    You can definitely see the southern wave is farther southwest from 00 to 06 to 12Z. And that energetic shortwave over New England from 06Z disappears. It does look more positively tilted, but I can see why it's potentially better.
  7. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Nahhh, no problem bragging a bit or mentioning that you got Christmas snow in SC! At this point, "discussing" that storm and calling it the one which "should not be named" is kind of for humor. At least for me. Yeah it sucked at the time but it's weather and it's like 10 years ago. Plus, there are other similar events that "screwed" this area, but that one I suppose is one of the more dramatic examples. It was the season after we got record-breaking snows so I think a lot of people perhaps had unrealistic expectations still. Hell, I'm still more "hurt" about Cleveland (my home town) losing TWO World Series, both in Game 7, both extra innings...1997 vs. the Marlins and 2016 vs. the Cubs. And the Browns loss to Elway and the Broncos to "The Drive" and "The Fumble". LOL!! At least they did get the NBA championship in 2016 though!!
  8. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Yes, the "Voldemort" storm ("he who should not be named!"). It perhaps wouldn't have been so badly remembered, but this area even the day before was looking like we'd share in some good snows. I think there were even watches/warnings out for awhile.
  9. Scarlet Pimpernel
    I believe the Ohio blizzard of 1978 featured a 504dm height closed low at its peak (and a 957mb low that went right through the state). That was unreal.
  10. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Agree...that was a bridge too far right there.
  11. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Wow, the Lord High Executioner, the Reaper, comes out of retirement (temporarily) to take a blasphemous soul! It's like an emeritus reaping!!!
  12. Scarlet Pimpernel
    LOL! GFS shows a gradient/overrunning type event near the end of its run.
  13. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Gorgeous! I love the sky at sunset, ever-changing red/orange colors! And I like the hint of reflection on the snow as well.
  14. Scarlet Pimpernel
    My take as well. Honestly, I was actually a bit surprised that all 3 major global deterministic runs showed a similar thing.
  15. Scarlet Pimpernel
  16. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Haha, pretty much!! But like I said, the one thing that is now looking more possible across the models is a potentially monster event...somewhere! That's more or less the takeaway. Or at least, the wild solution the GFS showed the other day is perhaps not so much the "crazy-uncle-in-the-attic" after all!!
  17. Scarlet Pimpernel
    You new here? It's our modus operandi!
  18. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Well of course! But what I find most interesting now is that we had a run or two this past week where the GFS showed a monster but no other real support from other models. Now, that general idea is showing up for next weekend pretty much across the board in one way or another (granted, looking at the deterministic solutions). So the possibility of that is not quite so crazy sounding.
  19. Scarlet Pimpernel
    So 12Z Euro has us worried and sweating about temperatures, while now the 18Z GFS has us concerned about wide right and then slamming New England!! Well...the one consistent thing as others have said is that there is some consensus at least on a significant event next weekend. But so many details that aren't going to be ironed out anytime really soon. Unfortunately, not a standard ideal setup where you know what's coming for the most part and it's a matter of small details only and not the overall evolution (a'la 2010 or Jan. 2016).
  20. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Hahaha, quite true!
  21. Scarlet Pimpernel
    What are they pessimistic about? The Euro solution that was cold rain from here to northern New England? I'd be pessimistic about that too.
  22. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Some frosty water on a cold day!
  23. Scarlet Pimpernel
  24. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Interesting. Though it has more of a GL low showing up, perhaps?
  25. Scarlet Pimpernel
    Premature pants-tenting? I guess we should all beware of that!
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