Scarlet Pimpernel

Green'd!!!

Taking this run verbatim (I know, I know!!!), you can see that a front goes through prior to that wave moving in, with temperatures dropping through that event. So again, taking this as-is, yeah, there would be a good bit of fresh cold air around.

Right, very good point. And well, if we can keep that "look" going forward in time for that same period, there may be something to this.

Soooooo...no comments on the HH GFS around Feb. 1-2??? I know, I know...300+ hours out on an ops run. But it shows how something could work if cold air presses in and a wave cuts underneath. That will be gone I'm sure in the 00Z run, but fun to look at!

We need a "shit the blinds" emoji!

OK, I can't view the Euro weeklies but I'll assume that basically much of February according to them look awful. I honestly don't know what to make...or how much to really put stock into the weeklies. How many times have they looked good but then it's not in the end? So I guess grain of salt? Though I know some mets have been pretty down on February in general, so whatever. At this point with how things have gone I almost don't give a shit (no shits for the blinds, LOL!!!). If much of February is nothing or a blowtorch, I'll hope that maybe it can turn around late-month into March. That's happened before. So this is late February, heading into March. To continue my thoughts (such as they are!) from what I replied to @yoda above...could this be a sign of a very late winter "comeback" of sorts? I've had it in the back of my mind that we could well have crap most of the DJF period (we have so far, why change it?? LOL!!!), but have a very back-loaded winter in a way with a colder period late Feb into mid-March. I know a lot of people in here poo-poo March snows, but I don't mind them! We've had some good ones over the last several years. If we have almost nothing and it's getting later into February, and a good MECS type storm shows up for March, I'd take that! I mean, why not?? And who cares if it's March and it would disappear a lot quicker than if we got it now?

To be fair, there wasn't much life to support for the next week anyhow!

Haha! Though I thought this might work too... (ETA: Though maybe this should be altered to read "10+ Days Out Again...A Weenie's Tale, by PSU Hoffman")

I don't think a therapist is enough...

Oh I remember just how awful winter 2011-12 was! And almost nothing in 2012-13. We got skunked with white rain from an early March 2013 event when we expected a lot more. But we actually did get a decent amount early on Mar 25, 2013 (my birthday!) as some consolation.

No we don't! You are totally wrong about that, sir! We never argue in here and you can take that attitude and do something with it!

Messy clean-up! Better get new ones!

Because a primary in west-central Indiana is perfect for us, along with an exiting high to the east! But yeah...384 hours what are you going to do?

Yeah that could potentially be a very interesting look! But as you say, a 50/50 would be nice. Looking at the flow/shortwaves in Canada, north of that trough near Texas...is it possible they could carve out a quasi-confluent flow? One would wish, but alas, no. Too much to parse out this far in advance and too much going on in that flow to make any concrete determination now.

OK I'll be stupid here and ask, feeling a bit embarrassed...what is "OT"?

Why do you hate America?! Might have to revoke your Revolutionary War status and pay fealty to the British crown! (all in jest here, of course!)

Hey @yoda...as a LOTR fan yourself, I thought you would perhaps appreciate this. I've got the extended Bluray editions of the movies and have seen them at least a few times each over the years. Of course, I also had seen the theatrical releases when they came out. But this weekend I actually decided to watch them back-to-back-to-back! A veritable LOTR-athon! Not all in one night, but over like 3 nights. And I'm still amazed at how well filmed it is, all the little nuances, etc. I still pick up things that I hadn't noticed before (seems true of all good movies). Watching them in sequence gives a different effect and more continuity, too, while the previous movie is still fresh on your mind. Glad that Jackson decided to film it that way, without a long lag between each one. And it's hard to believe that Return of the King is now some 20 years old (that's the one I have left to watch tonight)!!

Inflation has put the affordability of those out of reach this winter, I'm afraid!

Can we keep the change??

I once started a thread called 12z gfs nukes dc. I caught all kind of flak for it. Culture cancel started a long time ago l! OK, now I'm interested...what storm would that have been for??

Bourbon is nice (that Jefferson's Ocean looks tasty!)...but I myself do enjoy a good single malt Scotch now and then! My bastard Scottish background calls every now and then!! When having a Manhattan, Maker's Mark is my favorite for that (though to be sure, I haven't had one of those in a long time).

I remember the Eastern days, joining just before it changed into AmWx (right in time for the 2009-10 winter!). Prior to that I lurked and read for awhile (found it better than the AccuWeather forums). And yeah, all regions were in one place, kind of a free-for-all. I can't recall if things got divided up by region at the end of Eastern, or sometime with AmWx (been a long time!). On the one hand having no regional divisions was interesting and gave everyone the chance to read experts from every location (whether here, Philly, NYC, SNE, etc.). If I recall correctly, threads were created for various events and a sort of generic medium/long range thread, among other stuff like Banter. Perhaps even some threads specific to a storm for a given region. I do agree it got to be a bit of a cluster with everyone from every region commenting in storm threads (or even the more general longer range ones), each with their specific perspective depending on where they were located. You could read someone saying "wow, the 00Z GFS is amazing!" and then realize they were talking from a SNE perspective and not Mid-Atlantic! At any rate, I overall like the regional breakdown as it is and glad it moved to that format. Sure, there are "forum dividers" but I think that would be the case in every region (is it more that way here in the Mid-Atlantic than others, though?). And we do have some of the expert posters from other regions show up here with some very good information like @40/70 Benchmark and @donsutherland1...I also like what @brooklynwx99 has added for our area lately. One little anecdote, @Ji, that I recall involving you (no, not bad!!). This was when it was still Eastern, in March 2009, near the time I first started looking at this forum. 2008-09 was a blah winter around here, but there was a solid event in early March 2009 that got a lot of traction and discussion. I think it was the only worthwhile event that season! It was actually pretty exciting to this one-time lurker, to see all this discussion about every model. Anyhow, I remember some thread or comment you made a couple of days before that storm, something like "The most important Euro run of our lives!", for the 00Z Euro just before it came out. I was up unusually late (it was a weekend) and stuck around to watch the old play-by-play of the Euro for that storm, and it came out looking pretty good. I think some of the individual threads were actually for specific model cycles back then. The storm actually was a good one in the end, though maybe not as much as some indications gave.

The more things change...