Scarlet Pimpernel

Day-um! Can't ask for a more classic setup, and I'm glad to see blocking coming into play even before this extended ensemble range. If we can't get that to work, then we're looking at going full Offenbach with "The Tales of (PSU)Hoffman"!!!

LOL! Well, I actually used to have the handle of "Always in Zugzwang". For what it's worth!

But the Laughing Cow!!! Need that to truly have an epic SBFI (gotta have some food!), and you'll be Jebdrinking like it's 2009-10! (But you might be doing that already!) (ETA: 3 fridges? That might induce a triple-phased-fridger!)

Interesting, because I seem to recall similar discussions in 2016 about the lack of big storms around the 3rd week of January. Maybe due to climo "January thaw" or just chance. And then we got the blizzard on Jan. 22-23! Again like you said, no apparent reason it couldn't happen.

I recall for several days it actually DID look like we'd get some big snow out of it (like a foot or so), but as it got within the short range it looked "warmer" and like we might end up with rain. But it was so darned cold, and it was very entrenched, that in the end it was quite the ice and sleet event...the globals were of course scouring the cold out way too fast. I recall eastern MD got very severe icing out of that...the cold layer was shallower so they didn't get "saved" by sleet like we did a bit farther west

I'm of the same opinion about 2006-07, and in fact it is actually one of the winters I've liked a lot despite the relative lack of snow. Yeah, December 2006 sucked and January 2007 started off even worse. But the latter part of January into early March (especially February!) turned colder with some snow and icy type events. That sleetfest we got on Valentine's Day in February was oh-so-close to being a big event around here. But damn, that month was COLD, we had at least some snow/ice pack for several weeks.

It's the Detroit Lions of emotional swings in here!!

Of course, it will be the classic rematch. ETA : Guess I'll be rooting for the Niners in the SB now!

Maybe so. But you gotta take the damned points when you have the easy chance to do so. Better 6 more near certain points than zero and giving your opponent the ball back with good field position.

Sad thing is the Lions probably eek out a win if they went for the FG those two times. Or at worst, go into OT.

They couldn't kick a field goal let alone the can!

Wow, just unbelievable! How can the Lions refuse to go for a fairly easy field goal TWICE!? Such poor play calling decisions.

Actually looking only at the orientation of the height contours and ignoring the blue/orange overlayed anomalies, that's not a half bad looking flow? Low heights establishing near the Aleutians, building up a PNA ridge with an undercutting trough in the southwest, and what looks like confluent flow in the northeast?

I believe @WxUSAFwas referring more specifically to the potential around Feb. 4-6, and not to the pattern for the remainder of the winter.

Yeah, Ralph seems very concerned about the Ravens' chances today... ... Oh wait, you're referring to his comment about the models!

Did @Ralph Wiggum just declare WAR?? I'm joking here of course! But in all seriousness I always thought when people talk about the "western Atlantic ridge" (WAR) or "pig SE ridge", that it refers to a fairly long-lasting phenomenon that screws things for many days or more. Not a transient feature in a natural progression.

Sometimes imitation is the sincerest form of flattery! Or...mockery in this instance!

Hell, he was complaining that he could see the back edge of PD-II, Dec. 18-19, 2009, Feb. 5-6, 2010 and Jan. 22-23, 2016 a week before the storms even started!!!!

Ahhh, thank you! I didn't realize it was Mozart's birthday. I only knew Beethoven's (Dec. 16). Happy Birthday, Amadeus!!! Now, I'll have to tell you this story my step-mom told me years ago and it might ruin Mozart's 40th symphony for you (as it sort of did for me, hahaha! Well, not really, but it's amusing!)!! A roommate or friend of hers in college was taking some music appreciation class and they were examined on being able to recognize various well-known pieces of various composers and to identify the composer with the music. So this person created a funny way of remembering them by coming up with some phrase or whatever to the "tune" of the music. For Mozart's 40th symphony, they came up with, "It's a bird, it's a plane, it's a MOZ-ART...it's a bird, it's a plane, it's a MOZ-ART!" (imagine singing that to the tune of the 40th!). So ever since, every time I've heard that symphony of his (which I actually like quite a bit), I forever have that damned "bird, plane, Mozart" going through my head when I hear it!!! LOL!!!

I count ~7 that give the DC area a respectable amount or more. Not a bad signal for a highly "unstable" setup that is at this point not very predictable.

I say! It's enough to fluster me with excitement as I try to tie my cravat!

Hey, @psuhoffman and @brooklynwx99 used the term "redonculous" for this pattern, so anything can happen!

Probably some meteorologically impossible, physics-defying, thermodynamics-defying solution! (But seriously, my guess is it will show something like 12Z, with a suppressed solution).