Scarlet Pimpernel

Dude, you get Barney'd...digital purple over your house on the CMC!

Well, folks...we get our first wild ops solution for this upcoming period, courtesy of the CMC. And as I said above, the GFS almost hinted at the same thing the CMC showed, but it phases too late and too far offshore for that same event. Hopefully very interesting times ahead, and something that will actually produce a good snow.

Damn that thing just slows down, sits and spins... (ETA: The GFS kinda sorta hints at the same thing but it phases too late and too far offshore.)

Green'd!!!

Make that double oy Gevalt!

Wow! Oy Gevalt!!

Right. I imagine we will likely see some wild solutions from run-to-run. I would even not be surprised to see a big hit at one point (not saying that will actually happen, but some solution might show it!).

At least you'll see "blue" over your house hahaha!

Your DeLorean is obviously going faster into the future!

That was a classic...should have been nominated for an Oscar, it would win hands down!!

Same here, I appreciate you continuing to post and like your input, @brooklynwx99. It's well-informed and useful. While I get the snake-bitten attitude given how this winter has gone and how many times things have evaporated, the extreme cynicism is a bit much for me. That EPS look, most any other time people in here would be going ga-ga about it, especially since it's been showing up for several runs now. No, it's not a guarantee of anything but it sure as hell ups the probability. I'm not even looking for a HECS, just a solid event with a couple of decently cold days even would be fine at this point.

Heh...you said "bust!"

Reminds me of that old "that's impossible!" Little Caesar's ad:

@mappy, your spring avatar reminds me...tulip photos coming not too long from now (well, OK, later in April)!! Will post those when I take them of course, as I normally do! In the mean time, probably some other spring flowers as they come out.

Well, I wasn't here for that event (was in northeast OH at the time), but locally DCA recorded I think 6.6" as I recall? Of course, that's DCA measuring. But many others in the metro area received a foot or more even, before sleet and ice moved in. The storm was obviously "special" on the large scale given the wide area it covered, with anything from severe weather to blizzard conditions and feet of snow (48" in Syracuse, something like that!). Not to mention unreal heavy snows in AL/GA...in March. From what I've read about that storm for the local DC-Balt area, it still met blizzard condition criteria. For a mid-March storm in this area, that's quite impressive. There was also some pretty deep cold for a couple of days after that (true for much of the eastern 1/4 or so of the country). So maybe not a HECS in the metro areas just going by snowfall amount...but definitely taking into consideration everything else (wind, cold, snow, and ice). In northeast OH where I was, we were on the western edge of that storm and still had blizzard conditions. About 8-12" snow locally and gusty winds, along with temperatures in the teens or low 20s. Not sure what the pressure was in DC (DCA), but I recall the central pressure of that storm was on the order of ~960mb at its peak. To compare and give an idea of just how big that is, the Ohio Blizzard of 1978 (Jan. 26-27, 1978), which I lived through, went right through Cleveland. KCLE recorded their lowest pressure on record, 28.28" (957mb) as it went through. That may still stand as the 2nd lowest non-tropical storm pressure in the continental US. We didn't get extremely heavy snowfall from that...7" at KCLE, a bit more west...but 40+ MPH winds and gusts pushing 100 MPH near the lakeshore, along with temperatures in the single digits made it extremely dangerous (temps fell from mid 40s to the teens in about 2 hours, during the pre-dawn hours, and continued falling into the single digits for the rest of the day). That snow fell on top of about a foot of older crusty snow that already was on the ground.

The crazy pickles (Daffy Dills!!) are blooming all over here right now!

Must be a change in the BASE STATE!! Seriously though, the fact that you're optimistic about the possibility coming up is encouraging, as I know you're very cautious about such things. I think a lot of people have become extremely jaded and cynical so it's difficult to not think this is just another fantasy that will go nowhere. But given what you, @CAPE, and @brooklynwx99 have been saying the past couple or so days, pointing out that there are notable differences from the status quo of our other pattern looks that fizzled, one has to feel better about this. It may be March, but hell, I'd take a good event to see this winter off, that's for sure.

Well, to be fair, any discrete threats may well be very discreet!

Should we just punt the mid-March possibility, sh*t on the blinds, and come back next winter??

Hahaha, the inverted negative of the Ron Paul gif!!! RuPaul might be more entertaining!! (ETA: OK, looking at that gif...gotta admit he looks kinda like a vampire! It's a bit freaky! LOL!)

How about a honey badger on meth...or sloths on speed?

I know...and I'm really not giving up on things completely either just yet, at least through about mid-March. BTW...I copied my previous reply to you to the Banter thread, but I'm sorry if I misconstrued your comment to me about the futility thread as somehow telling me to stop complaining (which I wasn't trying to do, but anyhow).

Lots of caves there...we ought to be spelunking!!!

That's fair, to a point. Sure, looks like he nailed how little snow and all that we got. But let's be realistic. Even knowing it was looking like a dud year, it's a bit much to go to the far extreme in a winter forecast made back late last fall. So an element of ribbing or "bashing" wasn't that out of line at the time, especially in an area where just one moderate event can make the winter. That would be like people saying we're in for record snow and lots of HECS events before 2009-10 began. Even knowing that looked like a pretty big winter going in, nobody was going to go to the high end extreme in that case.

OK, whatever...no need to wag your finger at me for my previous comment. Perfectly aware there is a futility thread. I was responding in kind to what PSU said is all and adding my own thoughts now that we're getting nearly into March. If I read your intent incorrectly, my apologies.