Scarlet Pimpernel

You do realize that it's national centers, be they government or research entities, that create and run models, don't you? NCEP, the ECMWF, CMC, etc. The companies such as Weather Bell, Tropical Tidbits, and the like, merely use that data and package it with their own graphics for display. Yeah, they may do some of their own calculations to show precip type or snow amount, or other things like that, but they don't do the modeling.

Haha, right now it's NOBODY's storm!! If it exists, even! Honestly, I don't care "who's storm" it is, if we get one! As I replied to @stormtracker, I'm going to lightly follow things and see, and will still sort of hold out hope for something decent in early March.

I hear ya. I was being a little snarky and humorous with all the semi-political talk so I dropped that line! But seriously, I kind of agree with you. That storm this week kinda let a lot of air out for sure. I don't hold any great hopes, but I'll lightly follow things and if something "real" shows up then I'll go all in with tracking it and see what happens. I really think we're good for one more decent event the first part of March. That may be a vain hope (most likely?!) of course!

So...when do we get the @Heisy storm?!?!

Wish there were a way to add 2 emoji responses. I wanted to put the sad/sympathetic one in response to the stuff that happened to your bf's mom (just awful, and I am so sorry that happened!)...and a laughing one for the Jesus the Waiter line! So I settled with a "like".

I took the Euro AI's name in vain, so doing some hail snowflakes as penance. Hopefully we'll score after that now!

Mimosas...served by Jesus! But I shouldn't bring religion in here (unless snow counts as a religion!).

I seriously LOL'ed at this!!!

Haha, I ran track in high school myself, in northeast Ohio! And yeah, our practices would start in late March and early April (ugh!). There was at least one time that there was still some crusty ice and snow on the track at that time during a practice. I typically ran the 100m, 200m and 400m (4 by 100) relay. For the relay during a track meet, when I was the leadoff runner, I kept the baton warm under my sweatshirt as long as I could before having to take sweats off right before the event! Nothing like having a cold aluminum baton slap against your hand as you passed it off (I was either 1st or 2nd leg in those relays).

On a related note, I'll admit, cold weather softball SUCKS big time! I played on a softball league for many years. The season started in April and it was almost a guarantee that the first game or so would be 40s and drizzle. Hitting a ball with an aluminum bat HURTS in cold weather! No fun! Then again...I didn't care for the upper 90s or 100+ degree days when we had double-headers either, in late July a couple of times!!

I agree. And to be honest, I really don't care for this "March snow sucks because it melts too fast" attitude. Who the F**k cares? If we get a MECS or better storm, I'll be following that and enjoying it all through. Don't care if it's in early March or early January. Yeah, you're not going to get mid-January temperatures in March after a snow. But I recall several times that we had very good March snows that actually did stick around for a few days after a storm with cold temperatures that didn't disappear in a day. 2014 is a perfect example as you mention. Same with 2015. There are other examples. I even liked the small event in 2022, even though I knew it was going to warm up in another day. But on THAT day, it got quite cold and wintry. You're right. Even in mid-winter, we don't necessarily hang on to snow for weeks on end in these parts. Yeah, I saw that in northeast Ohio (where I'm from and grew up) of course, but that's a lot different and a much different climate. This January was unusual compared to many recent years in that we had consistent cold through the month, so the snow we got on Jan. 6 and around Jan. 20 stuck around for as long as it did. And yeah, some of the big snows we've gotten hung around for awhile simply because it was a LOT of snow and took awhile before it got melted or washed away. So long and the short of it...if we have a shot at one (or more!) solid or better events at the end of this month or the first half of March, I say BRING IT ON!

Very squishable!!

We are dressed in our weenie best, and are prepared to go down as gentlemen! But we would like a brandy!

ICON is not only way far south, it's as if there's not much of a storm there at all...very dry looking overall. Even the max zone is pretty small compared to earlier.

Or as my brother used to say about Bernie Kosar (when he was QB of the Browns): a "Kosarian" drive: go 85 yards, chew up 12 minutes on the clock, and have to settle for a field goal!!!

I just went and checked DCA's max/min for Jan. 30, 2010...high of 23, low of 18, 6.4" snow (day before was 27/20). And that 6.4" snow was on 0.33 liquid equivalent.

Anyone seriously looking for a HECS right now is either being deliberately ignorant or a complete fool (or...both!). I still hold out hope that a decent warning-level cold powder storm is on the table.

If this damned thing comes back from the dead somehow, I propose we call it the "@ravensrule yank and tug storm"!

Interesting that right now it's like there's almost no real low, and it's drier relatively speaking. But as you say, if we're actually seeing more interaction, hopefully the surface and precip will "respond" in upcoming cycles.

I think at 12Z it seemed oddly dry too, even in the jackpot region?

How does this all compare to its 12Z run? I'm thinking like @psuhoffman, it just seems like some disconnect looking at that H500 and comparing to the surface, not sure what is going on. I guess it is just too flat of a flow off the east coast?

Is that @Ralph Wiggum doing the PBP???