Scarlet Pimpernel

Is that how fuzzy it looks after a few of those beers in @Scraff's fridge??

OK, I admit...it took me a moment to realize what this said. At first glance, I thought it might be some kind of Hawaiian way of saying "Holy Sh*t!!" But I guess the meaning is the same regardless!!

<RR> There are medical treatments for that nowadays. </RR>

Exactly...essentially what I'm thinking. And even taking it verbatim with the (silly) snow maps, I take heart in the fact that a couple inches still gets into the cities, with a bit more where I'm at on the northwest side of town. As has been said, get that primary to transfer sooner, rather than when it's up near the OH River, and a lot of people would be quite happy (with the possible exception of Ji, hahaha!). I haven't really been looking at this in detail until just the past day or two, but has the transfer of energy trended one way or another over time?

Yeah. More an issue of the primary that's along the Ohio river it seems, messing up the thermals. As others indicated, if the transfer is quicker, or if the primary doesn't go that far north, that could do it for us. But not a bad overall look to have a week out. Will be interesting to see what the ensembles show... ETA: You know, even just going with the crazy snow maps (not worth a lot, I know!), about 1-2" snow still manages to get down into the cities and DC area at the end, with obviously much more as you go north and west. That's 1-2" more than we saw the other day!

Yup...seen lots of flakes, but none of them are of the snow variety!

You've got padded rooms in the Panic Room now? Whoa...that might be a game changer right there!

Careful, you might invoke RR with that comment!!

Can't be right, simply because it has a relative minimum over the @Bob Chill jackpot zone in MoCo!!

Echoing what others have already said...very sorry to hear this and my condolences to you. Take care of yourself and your kids, keep them close. And yes, hopefully we can get some snow to brighten things for you at least a little.

Yup...January 2019 is what I assume you're referring to from "almost 2 years ago". And anything would beat the 1.5" slush that I got last year for the "largest" event (and about 2" total for the season, woo-hoo!). ETA: Oh, and I think some people forget just how bad it was in December 2015, when we had a +11 degree departure from normal for the month. Just let that sink in for a moment. Eleven. Degrees. Above. Normal. When it's unpleasantly muggy and damp on Christmas Eve, you know December sucks. Thank God that kind of departure didn't happen in July! Of course, a few weeks later we had a storm for the ages, but anyhow...

I hear you on that! Would be nice to not trash the entire weekend with more rain, rain, rain (not like we need more terribly much!)...have that move out quickly and potentially allow some chance of snow early next week (even if small), would be great about now.

Ha! I was just about to write the same exact thing! (ETA: Well, almost...wouldn't really want to "call it a winter" after that in December. But I know what you mean!)

What is this "winter" you speak of???

This year...it's actually good to know there are some things that are consistent and expected (even the content of Ji's posts)!!

Yes, seems to be the problem around these parts all too often! And this early in the season, especially. But still nice to see potential out there instead of wall-to-wall Pac puke with no end. Positive signs...for now, at least!

Ha, that seems to be our problem all too often! But nice to see something interesting out there at least. Good to see you Stormtracker, hope all is well!

In a way, I agree with you here (no, not the part where you say that this makes you an ass...well, maybe sorta!). I personally see little difference between 6" slop spread over several events, that disappear before you sneeze...and dealing with 55-60 degrees most of the winter. Honestly (and this is simply conjecture on my part), I don't see us having quite so consistent a level of warmth as we did last year, and our single best event being...all of 1.5" total. Whether that means anything, who knows. But yeah, if we're going to have a couple of slop storms, who cares, might as well have it be "late fall" most of the time instead! I just hope we don't have mosquitos still hanging around in January, please! Interestingly, I looked up DJF last year (2019-20) and DJF from 2015-16 (year we got the blizzard). At least for DCA, last year was warmer over those 3 winter months compared to '15-16, and more consistently so. And that is after a +11.5 departure in Dec. 2015!! Take out Dec. 2015 and you see a different picture that year. I know people like to "dis" that winter as a one-and-done luck out with the blizzard that sucked otherwise, but fact is...we DID luck out. And it wasn't all luck. We were graced with a favorable pattern and a STJ on 'roids through the middle-end part of January. And in fact, besides the awful warmth in December, Jan-Feb were kinda at or slightly below normal overall (2nd half of Feb did get warmer, to be sure, as I recall). Last year didn't even give us any chance for a luck event, really. Oh, and last year, DCA did not record a single max temperature of 32 or below at all.

C'mon, if you're gonna punt, go for the best (Ray Guy)!!

Hey @WxWatcher007, is the Panic Room open yet for this season? Looks like you'll have an overflow crowd right from the start! Perhaps introduce "contactless" check-in!! And sanitize each room with tears from agonized snow weenies!

I'll take a bit of issue stating categorically that 2015-16 was a "crappy winter." But that's all a matter of perspective and opinion of course, and others have expressed the same view, so it is what it is. I won't deny that Dec. 2015 was absolutely awful, the worst in the annals of craptacularity, with a +11 temperature departure for the month. More April than December. However, if you look at the temperatures for Jan. 2016, it was slightly colder than normal, and Feb. 2016 was near to a hair above normal. Though to be sure, the 2nd half of Feb. warmed up again. For snow...outside that one amazing event...you could argue it sucked, sure. But fact is we did get that one spectacular event. And in Feb., there was a small to moderate snow/ice event (that changed to rain very late) around President's Day weekend. Did we have other chances in that 2 month period? I don't remember. But to me, truly crappy would be last winter, where it was nearly wall-to-wall shutout with no chance. And a toaster bath most of the time. Or 2001-02, and 2011-12. Those are the worst kinds in terms of awful winters in my opinion...consistently lousy temperatures and almost no real snow opportunities. I'd argue that as bad as a lot of 2015-16 seemed (mostly thanks to that December), we still had a couple of realistic periods for something.

11 pages for a Winter 2020-21 thread, and we're barely into September...oy gevalt!! Either desperation or hope, I'm not sure which. I didn't read the whole thing, but has Ji canceled this upcoming winter yet? And how many times? Do we have Panic Room previews?? @WxWatcher007 promised so many new amenities this upcoming season for the wayward weenies!!

Something like Feb. 14, 2015 would be kinda cool!! That wasn't really 2-4" area-wide, but I got like 2" in an hour or so followed by gusty winds and temperatures plummeted into the teens for the next day or so, as an Arctic front went through. One of the coolest "mini events" I can remember.

You do understand what the SPREAD of ensemble forecasts shows, correct?