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Everything posted by Scarlet Pimpernel
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January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
More like deflate-gate! (sorry, New England fans, the jokes on that never get old...) -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Just think...only a few days ago, we were thinking a couple of inches would be a win here at this point, as a prelude to what many are thinking could be an awesome pattern we'll be heading into. -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yup, I think that is what the Euro was showing for this event yesterday. Wasn't it also calling for an additional 0.25-0.30 or there about from 1PM onward (in today's 12Z run...maybe that's what you mean about the band)? (ETA: So maybe...if the Euro kind of led the way on this one for QPF, it may well be correct with that crazy 1"+ of ice next weekend! ) -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Hit the 10.0" mark a short while ago when I last measured! Still coming down but lighter. Incredible finish to this event, I got nearly 4" since about 3:30PM. Outside the Jan. 2016 blizzard (which is in a totally different class), this is easily the largest snowfall since Feb. 2014 in terms of accumulation at least. And this one, unlike Feb. 2014, didn't involve a period of slop for part of it. Here's a recent photo from this evening (thank goodness for image stabilized lenses! )... -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
This last surge late this afternoon and evening so far has pushed my total to 9.0". Still snowing too at a good clip. -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nice! Hope this storm makes up for you being sick at least somewhat (those noroviruses are awful!!). -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nice big flakes coming down now at a good clip, for the past half hour or there about. Looks like areas that had been cleared and shoveled are getting covered again. Will have to measure sometime a bit later. Thus far, have 7.0" total for this storm where I'm at (as of about noon). -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
A few photos (one from last night, two from today)... -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nice photo! I think that buck is saying, "Dafuq you looking at??" -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Right around 7.0" as of 11:00AM, Chevy Chase/Bethesda. Some light snow falling. -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Hell I still haven't totally recovered from the Indians losing in extra innings of game 7 vs. the Cubs two seasons ago...or for that matter also losing game 7 in extras vs. the Marlins in 1997! -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
6.8" measured around 8:30am here in Chevy Chase/Bethesda. Light snow falling...beautiful out! Got several photos. -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Right around ~2.5" Chevy Chase/Bethesda area. Nice sized flakes ripping for awhile, has let up a bit now. Side roads are long gone, even some major roads (E-W Hwy, Conn Ave) are not exactly easy traveling. -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
Haven't actually measured anything yet, but here in Chevy Chase/Bethesda area, ground is mostly coated, including pavement. Snowing lightly and has been for a little while now. -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
True...the heartbreak events tend to stick with you, I agree. But man, these reverse busts are awesome when they do happen! Others have said this I think already, but this event kind of makes me think of Jan. 30, 2010. -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
LOL! Agreed, I wouldn't buy the extreme amounts the NAM is spitting out (unless every other model does same thing today). But I do like the overall increases in QPF and better looks that guidance is showing. I think LWX right now is OK with low end warning extending into immediate metro DC area and increased advisory amounts north of there...seems reasonably conservative and realistic for right now pending later guidance. -
January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Bob Chill's topic in Mid Atlantic
He's thinking, "meh...bring on the MLK storm next weekend!" -
Best Mid-Atlantic winter storm of the last 40 years
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
@PrinceFrederickWx ...I wonder the same thing. If that were a "one hit wonder" winter, or if there were no other events close to as significant that year, would that event be viewed a bit differently. Not that I'd trade anything from 2009-10 at all, mind you, haha! But like I said, the fact that the Dec. 2009 event could almost be an "afterthought" or "one of the big-3" by mid-February of that winter is surreal and a true testament to how record-breaking that year was. Will we see the likes of that again? Upon thinking of things more, I'd still have to say the most impactful and significant event in my lifetime was the "White Hurricane" that hit Ohio and other parts of the Midwest/Great Lakes, on Jan. 26-27, 1978. No, the snow was not record-breaking or even all that incredible where I was in northeast Ohio (6-12", there about). But truly dangerous and severe blizzard conditions for a full day, with wind gusts pushing 70-100 MPH and temperatures in the single-digits. Not to mention the record-breaking low pressure over a large area (957 mb as it passed right over Cleveland, into Lake Erie and eventually southern Canada). The temperature dropped 30 degrees in a 2-hour period between 4-6 AM that morning. All that coupled with the fact that it occurred in the second of two very cold and snowy winters in the eastern U.S. -
Best Mid-Atlantic winter storm of the last 40 years
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Wow. This is a tough one and I don't even think I can vote at this time for a "best" event. They were all great in their own way and had their own life, so to speak. I was not here for the ones prior to PD-II (I moved to the area in summer 2001), but I certainly heard a fair bit about PD-I in 1979, Feb. 1983, Superstorm March 1993, and the Jan. 1996 blizzard. I was in northeast Ohio during March 1993, we had blizzard conditions, temperatures in the teens, and got about 8-12" snow (southeast OH got close to 2 feet I believe). In Jan. 1996 I was in Atlanta in graduate school, we got a lot of rain from that followed by an inch or two of crusty snow and cold temperatures for a few days after. Anyhow, in terms of sheer snow accumulation only for the area I live in (near suburbs of northwest DC, in MD), the Jan. 22-23, 2016 blizzard and Snowmageddon 2010 top the list (I measured 24.0" from the 2016 storm and 23.5 from Snowmageddon in 2010). But taken as a whole, Snowmageddon plus the Feb. 9-10 blizzard a few days later in 2010 would probably top my list...though that's technically two storms and not one. I still recall going to bed late on Feb. 9, thinking it might be a bust, after we transitioned to freezing drizzle and some sleet after a couple inches or so of snow. I woke up the next morning around 7AM, fully expecting nothing...only to be greeted by whiteout conditions when I looked out the window. That was amazing, and lasted into the mid-afternoon. Actually, the 12-day period from Jan. 30-Feb. 10, 2010 is perhaps the most concentrated, snowy period I have ever experienced in my life (and I've lived through some snowy/cold winters in Ohio). Four warning-level events in that time: Jan. 30, Feb. 2, Feb. 5-6, and Feb. 9-10 was unreal, and two of those were genuine HECS. And we came damn close to another warning-level event around Presidents' Day that year, I recall, at least there was some possibility of that for awhile (we ended up with light snow but not a lot). The one thing about 2009-10, I've always thought the first HECS...Dec. 18-19, 2009 ("Snowpocalypse")...kind of got overshadowed by February that winter. By that time, everyone was talking about those two events separated by mere days, with hardly a mention of the December event. Which now, seems surreal that we could even do that! The December storm was near perfect (I got 20.0" from that one) in terms of temperatures and snow. And there was sheer excitement about that storm, as it was really the first true HECS in the DC area since PD-II in 2003 (yes, I know some areas got significant amounts from other events, e.g., Feb. 2006, but I'm talking area-wide DC/VA/MD region getting HECS-level snow). -
Shawshank Redemption for the redemption room! Rehabilitated? It's just a bull**t word! One of my favorite scenes from that movie (which is one of my favorite movies).
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Best Mid-Atlantic winter storm of the last 40 years
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
For Feb. 5-6, I love that little relative minimum dot right over DCA (same for the totals through the Feb. 4-10 period)!!!! Anyhow, I've been here since 2001, so the biggest events for me since then would be (1)Feb. 5-6, 2010, (2)Dec. 18-19, 2009, (3)Feb. 16-17, 2003 (PD-II), (4)Feb. 9-10, 2010. That's just a rough ordering off the top of my head, mostly based on snow amounts I measured. Wish I could have been here for some of those others! -
Hey everyone...best of luck with the upcoming storm! I'm sort of crossing forums here as I currently live in the Washington, DC area, and we're pretty much just looking at cold rain here. However, I grew up in the Cleveland area (mostly in Shaker Hts., but also in Lake County around Wickliffe) and still like to monitor storms that affect the old homestead. Still have family in the area so I do visit at least once a year. Unfortunately, haven't had the opportunity to visit during the winter up that way in a few years, so kind of miss experiencing snow events (and lake effect) in northeast OH. At any rate, looks like this one takes a classic track for you all. I did check KCLE's latest and saw the watch is now a warning, and they're going 8-12" from what I saw in the northern-most counties.
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Remembering Snowpocalypse -- 12/18-12/19, 2009
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Ian's topic in Mid Atlantic
Ah, OK...thanks for the reminder! In February, I recall there were some in the SNE forum who were complaining about all the snow we were getting that year and how it was somehow an affront to the natural order of things, or that we here in the MA had no right to revel in the record-breaking once in a lifetime winter. Not everyone, but I remember seeing comments to that effect (granted, some from here were trolling them a bit). I found that kind of amusing (and annoying), because though places like BOS and NYC didn't get the "big" totals that winter, it's not like they had a crappy year (a lousy winter here is far worse than a lousy one up that way!). Besides, didn't NYC recently get something like three straight 40"+ years shortly before that season? -
Remembering Snowpocalypse -- 12/18-12/19, 2009
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Ian's topic in Mid Atlantic
That was a bonus, yes! ! But didn't the December storm also do the same (maybe NYC got hit too, can't recall that offhand). -
Remembering Snowpocalypse -- 12/18-12/19, 2009
Scarlet Pimpernel replied to Ian's topic in Mid Atlantic
I generally feel the same. I've tossed that around, which one was "better" or would rank ahead, either the Dec. 18-19 storm or Feb. 5-6. Probably really doesn't matter in the end, all the storms that year were remarkable and they were all great! In my particular location, the amount of snow was similar for each...20.0" from the December storm and 23.5" from February. Heck, both also occurred on a Friday night through Saturday, too. The February event was obviously bigger overall for the area when you look at the actual snow amounts that a lot of people got. But I kind of lean toward the December storm for a few reasons: it was still early in the season and that put an exclamation point on the start of that amazing winter, it was the first really major event here in many years (as you stated), and it was quite cold throughout the event. Cold powder from start to finish. I remember the excitement as it started to snow in the late evening (want to say around 9 or 10 PM that Friday), and it stuck immediately. Woke up to around 9" on the ground and got another 11" through the day and into the evening Saturday. After that winter in some of the ensuing discussions, I almost felt like the two big events in February sort of overshadowed the December storm. A lot of the talk was on whether the Feb. 5-6 event was bigger or the blizzard a few days later, almost as if the December one was a distant memory.