Scarlet Pimpernel

It's the AIAmWx model! Nearly 100% accurate every winter and actually doesn't require "AI" per se!!! The only slight modification is that Ji canceling winter for the "22nd time" is a bit underdone, he usually is at that point by Halloween! Oh, and also...we then get a "surprise" moderate or somewhat better storm at the very end of February or first part of March to kind of salvage things, but a lot of people go "meh, March snows suck because they're gone in 2 days anyhow!"

Holy s*it! Three words I thought could never be uttered given how bad the Cleveland Browns Clowns are!!!... Cleveland Browns Win!!

Exactly, I agree. Yeah, we all get a bit frustrated or disappointed when there's nothing much specific on the horizon in terms of snow events. Or when the models go all over the place, creating the inevitable mood swings. And even a bit of venting is OK. However, as you say, the constant bitching with page after page of the same people whining that "it's over!!!" gets really old and detracts from the actual discussion. Can people still be five-posted (as has been done in storm threads upon occasion)? Like if someone posts a bunch of whiny BS and nothing more several times succession in any of the discussion threads (medium range or for specific events), they get five-posted for awhile.

Uh-oh...Ravensrule bat signal just went up...better be careful! Oh, wait a minute!!!

You must have 1994 on your mind!! Shades of @Bob Chill's total glaciation with a foot of ice!!

Happy (or Merry!) New Year to all, a little early!!

Amen! Now it's just "accepted" somehow, for better or worse (worse most likely, but oh well!). It is December 29, and there are now 16 (!!!) pages in the January medium range thread already...and probably half of those are whining and complaining that some 200+ hour setup doesn't look HECS-like enough at one cycle when it was perfect 6 hours earlier. I swear, some people think or expect that we get wall-to-wall cold and/or snow for weeks on end (a'la 2013-14 which was quite an exception), when that's not how it works around here. You take the favorable periods that come and go, and hope something good and wintry works out. Just because we may at some point flip back to "meh" and somewhat warm for a time doesn't mean it's going to be a torch with nothing through early March. All cynicism aside, I am optimistic (as much as one can be in these parts) for January. I think we likely score at least one really solid event that will be Folks to Jaws worthy. Not necessarily a HECS (probably not), but a good area-wide high end warning level snow, bigger than we got last year or the previous winter.

"Everything you always wanted in a snowstorm, and LESS!"

Merry Christmas all! May you all have peace and happiness this Holiday season!!

These are obnoxiously ignorant and offensive posts, which show little to no understanding about the workings of NOAA, NWS, numerical models, or even science in general. They're doubly odious after what all Federal employees, including those within NOAA, have had to deal with in this past year. You should be ashamed of yourself, if you are capable of that, for posting this utter drivel, especially at this time of year.

We really need to see the RRFSOPQXYZ ensembles. I hear there are 26 members!!

I don't recall that exactly...but I do remember sometime around then we were "supposed" to get a sleet bomb and it wasn't much of anything. The last legit one I remember actually getting was the Valentine's Day 2007 storm, we just missed out on heavy snow and got like 3" sleet (areas to the east/southeast of DC got serious ice), which froze into a block of ice right afterward.

Uhhh...errrr...given the RR context, that may not have been the best choice of words!!! Or maybe my mind is...oh, nevermind! Now, back to our regularly scheduled sleet and ice bomb!

You still wake up in the dark, don't you, to that awful screaming of the lambs? Try some fava beans with a nice chianti!