Scarlet Pimpernel

Anyone else think it's a bit creepy how "The GFS" is holding "AmericanWx"???

Glad to see that is showing up again in ops runs. I really think we need to keep seeing this show up. There were a couple or so ops GFS runs in the past week that were showing a good storm around the PSU timeframe. Including the ridiculous 40"+ one from 06Z a couple or so days back.

Agree, I think a foot is probably the ceiling for anywhere.

I actually wouldn't be totally surprised if someone ends up with double-digit amounts from this in the end.

Actually reminds me of this bar near campus when I was in grad school, they had this thing called the "barber chair". It literally was a barber chair. After you paid for this "ride", they'd sit you down in and pour some kind of booze down your gullet and then spin the chair fast. No, I never tried it...freakin' made me dizzy/sick just watching hahaha!

Fifteen (!!!) years ago today, the 2nd big storm within a 5 day period ("The Blizzard")...

Yeah, just caught up looking at all that, saw several new pages and...holy shit!

What the hell just happened???

Looks like a wider expanse of the max amount area compared to the ops?

Don't jinx it! I'm thinking of the old "Shaft" song, the "Shut yo' mouth!" part!! LOL!!!

Are you looking to secede?

Agree. I think what we're seeing this upcoming week is pretty much what you stated well before this. That is, you weren't that big on it, but also said you weren't discounting any snow possibilities which still could happen. We're now looking at an imperfect and "lucky" event for Tuesday-Wednesday, though obviously we're not going to see those outrageous amounts that models were spitting out late last week. Still respectable though! Now right after that, we have to deal with more or less getting washed out, though it shouldn't be a torch per se. As for next weekend into PD, I'm not overly high on anything there myself either, but I'm paying some attention to the trends that we may have some icy mess perhaps as we get into the blocking regime more (or that's what it looks like, at least for some areas). Then of course, there's your favored period beginning around the 20th, and I like how the ensembles have remained pretty rock steady so far on that. It's also good to see a couple of ops runs here and there throw out some nice solutions during that period. That's what we want to see, though the details remain to be ironed out. (ETA: It must help also that we're not coming out of some several week period of Pac puke with absolutely no cold air even in Canada. So not like we should have to take a long time to "restore" the cold air source as we've had happen in the past).

Pretty reasonable for right now. I'm sure that will get refined in the next day or so, and the max areas perhaps become better identified.

We've accumulated good snow during daylight hours in the first part of March upon several occasions in the past several years. And it's not like it was always pounding heavy snow either.

Yeah, hoping to mitigate how much gets washed away later in the week!

I believe you mean the IGGLES!!!

They haven't gotten 6" in Baltimore from the NAM???

I miss the DGEX.

There will be lots of slant-sticking.

Yeah I'm wondering if that later Wednesday and Wednesday night period might turn out more...interesting...in time. The other day it appeared that we'd get a decent thump of snow Tuesday into maybe early Wednesday with the first wave, and then rain after. Now...???

I've been slightly curious about next weekend, the GFS has gone back and forth somewhat between some kind of snow/ice (depending on location) and an all-out rainer everywhere. It looked like the last couple or so cycles have pushed the low a bit farther south lately, but hard to really tell. If we can get enough confluence to stick around, it could become pretty interesting.

Yup...I'm kind of agnostic on the game but at the same time don't really care to see the Chefs win again either! (yes, purposeful misspelling there!)

You really shouldn't let squirrels anywhere near...oh, nevermind!!!

Everyone ready for the Superb Owl game today? By the way, who are the Chefs???

I see that the secret FOLKS is watching this thread!!