MAG5035

Me too haha. I hope somebody overachieves... I have a different set of problems to contend with over on this side of the Laurels with this one. Right now I think KPIT at 12.7" is going to keep its lead over the 10.8" I have to date. I only need about 40" more to get to average for the season lol.

It's not the most ideal scenario by any means, but the inside track this low is supposed to take through eastern PA should be sufficient enough to keep the Pittsburgh area in some decent precip for a bit after the changeover. I think Pittsburgh metro should manage at least a couple inches but I do believe the best snowfall may reside in a line just east running up the Laurels thru Indiana/Punxy on up into Northern PA. Higher areas around the metro probably do a bit better accumulation wise but the cold air coming in with the developing low moving from VA into eastern PA should provide a pretty clean changeover for everyone. That HRDPS can be a bit too wound up with it's precip rates but the dynamics present offer the opportunity for a period of decent snowfall rates. Placement/coverage of the eventual precip area generated from the deepening low and the track of said low will have to be watched closely to see if this under or overachieves. Both options are on the table in western PA.

I saw NWS Pittsburgh post this graphic the other day and couldn't help but share it in here. I can only hope this century's 20's decade does better for Pittsburgh than the original roaring 20s. In fact, that period from 1919-1935 accounted for 1/3 (11 winters) of the 33 winters since 1880 that started at or less than this season's 12.7" to date. There's a few half decent comebacks in there but that's pretty rough.

Sharing this with you guys.. saw NWS Pittsburgh post this not too long ago. Something to keep an eye on when that main precip arrives. That's their 12z weather balloon launch so that's the actual assessment of the column and not the modeled one. Definitely plenty of room to wet bulb that warm nose back below freezing with the arrival of the heavier precip. Hopefully you guys can sneak some more snow out of this.

Also, if you go back to the 2nd page of this thread (post 45) you find a poster that quoted JoMo's last few posts before the storm hit.. the second of which saying about the sirens going off. TIme on that post was 5:17 CDT, right at the time of the warning (VTEC31) issuance. 10 minutes later was his last post about the couplet being nearly overhead. Whatever happened to that particular thread (or portion of this thread) where people were posting as the storm was unfolding? I seem to remember that folks might've been watching that first warned cell when the Joplin cell suddenly exploded into the monster tornado signature just outside of town. There's of course those couple chaser videos that show this tornado going from a developing multiple vortice to a massive wedge in about the time it takes for the doppler to make one scan. I know that's one of the many aspects of this storm that fascinates me..practically watching the whole wall cloud drop to the ground in a minute or two.

Very glad to hear that you and your family are ok.