Jump to content

BooneWX

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,420

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. BooneWX
    Track consistency these past few runs among all models has been remarkable
  2. BooneWX
    I almost let tomorrow get off my radar. 50 mph gusts and soils this saturated…no bueno.
  3. BooneWX
    That temp gradient leads me to believe this will be more amped in the end
  4. BooneWX
    Roxboro has to eat - always does
  5. BooneWX
    Right where we want it. 18z eps went a little south and east with the heaviest precip. I don’t want the bullseye on the globals until late tomorrow or Monday. I don’t think we’ll see a NW per say, but I think it’ll adjust 50-100 miles NW with time.
  6. BooneWX
    This Euro run gets many more involved in snow
  7. BooneWX
    18z Euro….cold press working even more
  8. BooneWX
    Weak and flat is certainly on the table but I’d lean towards the Euro camp because of the jet.
  9. BooneWX
    The models seem to be catching on to the cold press. Solid day of trends.
  10. BooneWX
    Baby steps
  11. BooneWX
    I’ll take it a step further: North of 85 = eating North of 40 = thanksgiving dinner with dessert
  12. BooneWX
    Just watch the consistency going forward. I’ve always said that big dogs for western NC don’t pop up or oscillate very much. They bark early and bark louder.
  13. BooneWX
    Fwiw, Eric Webb is in the camp that it won’t have much room to come NW like many storms we’re so accustomed to. He believes the block is keeping this thing pressed and we may be starting to see models correct to that solution.
  14. BooneWX
    Just saw the EURO, I need a cigarette
  15. BooneWX
    I expect when we get in the short range, cad will trend stronger as always.
  16. BooneWX
    I’m all for a good ol fashioned 3-4” of snow with 2 inches of sleet for sledding. Just hope we can keep the ZR out.
  17. BooneWX
    All fun and games until it shows a 5°C warm nose above us, violently charging its way to Richmond.
  18. BooneWX
    I’m optimistic that this predominantly snow area could expand a bit as models catch onto CAD. I think we already started to see that last night.
  19. BooneWX
    Exhausting stretch of weather. Just hanging in there for now, because I know if it follows our normal pattern, we won’t see rain for about 6 weeks here soon.
  20. BooneWX
    Some brutal cutoffs showing up in our backyards @WXNewton @calculus1. like 2 inches for us and a foot for Lenoir
  21. BooneWX
    Also, something that smells fishy to me that I’ve seen all day. You could technically have freezing rain simultaneously in Fayetteville and Hickory, I guess, but I can’t drum up a single scenario in the past where that has happened. It’s either unprecedented or these models are all out to lunch.
  22. BooneWX
    My main takeaway from the 18z suite is that we need better high placement. Our parent high over the Dakotas isn’t going to do much for us. Either it builds into a less consolidated high or it progresses eastward faster, but if I took away the simulated radar and purely looked at the track + HP location, I’d tell you it’s probably raining almost to DC.
  23. BooneWX
    *Every storm, every year*
  24. BooneWX
    I don’t have a good screenshot because it was mid-Atlantic focused but man. The EPS had some absolute haymakers for western NC.
  25. BooneWX
    One piece of guidance hasn’t flinched with the pieces of energy in several runs: the EPS. The one you want in your back pocket.
×
×
  • Create New...