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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. BooneWX
    Crestwood is a nice place to get snowed in at.
  2. BooneWX
    That's a gorgeous view!
  3. BooneWX
    I can always tell when you guys are getting hammered. We went from crystal clear skies in the foothills to a dense cloud deck just a few miles to the west and some streamer clouds racing overhead. Wish I was about 10 miles further west. Enjoy it!
  4. BooneWX
    Well, add another dusting to the 2019-2020 resume. Torn between wanting a big snow and being ready for fishing/topless Jeep weather. To all of you that really cashed in, congrats!
  5. BooneWX
    Rates never came to fruition. Also we torched at the surface...very fitting for this winter.
  6. BooneWX
    Haven't given up hope, but the trends are troubling for the lee.
  7. BooneWX
    The foothills of western NC have been one of the wettest locations in the United States for the last two years, with nearly every rain storm over performing. Now...with a winter storm on the doorstep, we're finally going to have an under-performer and virtually no qpf LOL.
  8. BooneWX
    Interesting to see so many short range models trimming totals in the lee of the Apps, yet continue to show more intense rates and snow bands in those areas this afternoon. It doesn't really add up.
  9. BooneWX
    It's interesting to see the models hold back on totals, yet show an intense band of snow for the afternoon hours in the Lee of the Apps. Something doesn't add up.
  10. BooneWX
    Yikes. NAM crushing dreams in the 11th hour.
  11. BooneWX
    Not buying the anti-foothill guidance. I’ve not encountered too many overrunning events that didn’t score well in the foothills counties.
  12. BooneWX
    Lived in the foothills my entire life and I’ve never seen an overrunning setup skimp on the foothills - but I’ve seen plenty of models say it would. Not discounting the guidance, but there hasn’t been a single simulated radar that doesn’t show heavy banding impacting at least half of the foothill counties.
  13. BooneWX
    Slowly....this is becoming a big event for us.
  14. BooneWX
    Another big run incoming for NC
  15. BooneWX
    Simulated radar seems to have more of a sw to ne component, so we might be good.
  16. BooneWX
    NAM’ed!!
  17. BooneWX
    I’ve got a good feeling about this event. I’m not a met, just a hobbyist like most of us, but something in me says that the NAM verifies.
  18. BooneWX
    Triangle folks going to love this run
  19. BooneWX
    18z NAM will be telling IMO. I feel like this is the run where it either sticks or completely folds.
  20. BooneWX
    The NAM has its flaws, but I think it's ironic to see it written off by so many mets. The two minor events that have occurred so far in W NC, NW SC and parts of Georgia were nailed by the NAM, days in advance. It's had solid footing this year. Also, as someone living in western NC, I have a hard time buying dry solutions - everything has overachieved in qpf this winter.
  21. BooneWX
    Noticed that as well. Also noticed that the snow totals seem very low given the temps, time of day and simulated radar.
  22. BooneWX
    Wedge: always over-performs
  23. BooneWX
  24. BooneWX
    What are your thoughts on the thermal profiles?
  25. BooneWX
    I've felt like for days that the models were poorly handling the precip shield. If it's anything like every other system that's passed through during the last year, it'll overachieve on qpf and cover a lot of ground. Time will tell.
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